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La Liga · Matchweek 12 · 6 November 2026 · 20:00

Sevilla vs Alavés tip, odds and prediction, 6 November 2026, La Liga

LWLDL
VS
LDLLD
1Sevilla2.05
XDraw3.51
2Alavés4.28

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:55

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Sevilla and Alavés meet on 6 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla). Sevilla (49%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Sevilla vs Alavés: tip and prediction
Result
Sevilla to win
2.05
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.73
49%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sevilla or draw (1X) – probability 77%, odds up to 1.27.

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Sevilla vs Alavés: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.053.514.28
Market average1.953.384.08
Lowest odds1.873.254.00
Megapari2.053.494.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.391.3768.4%
Over 2.5 goals2.282.2043.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.731.6956.6%
Over 3.5 goals4.103.9124.0%
BTTS – yes1.951.9348.3%
BTTS – no1.851.8051.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:55. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sevilla 1–0 Alavés, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Sevilla 6th (17 points), Alavés 10th (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sevilla 5W 2D 3L (16:16), Alavés 3W 3D 5L (15:17).
  • H2H: 20 matches: Sevilla 8W 7D 5L, goals 25–21.
  • Absences: Sevilla 0, Alavés 0.

Who will win Sevilla vs Alavés?

Sevilla49%
Draw28%
Alavés23%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Sevilla vs Alavés: more betting markets

Sevilla or draw (1X)76.7% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals76.0% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.39
Likely
Under 2.5 goals56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: no51.7% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Sevilla to win48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both teams score: yes48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals43.4% · fair odds 2.30 · best 2.28
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.51
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.0% · fair odds 4.17 · best 4.10
Outsider
Alavés to win23.3% · fair odds 4.30 · best 4.28
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 013.2%
1 : 112.5%
2 : 09.5%
0 : 09.1%
2 : 19.1%
0 : 18.6%

Sevilla vs Alavés: injuries, suspensions, absences

Sevilla

  • No reported absences

Alavés

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Sevilla vs Alavés: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Villarreal113-3-515:1512
9Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
10Alavés113-3-515:1712
11Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
12Getafe113-3-58:1612
13Deportivo La Coruña102-5-313:1311
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna103-2-510:2011
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Sevilla

1 NovLGetafe 3–1 Sevilla
26 OctWSevilla 2–0 Osasuna
18 OctLReal Madrid 4–1 Sevilla
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla
19 SeptLSevilla 1–3 Barcelona

Alavés

31 OctLBarcelona 6–1 Alavés
23 OctDAlavés 1–1 Málaga
18 OctLCelta Vigo 2–1 Alavés
10 OctLAlavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid
19 SeptDAthletic Club 0–0 Alavés

Home and away

Sevilla at home5 matches: 3W 0D 2L, goals 7–7
Alavés away5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 4–11

Sevilla vs Alavés: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Sevilla: 6th, 17 points from 11 matches (5W 2D 4L). Alavés: 10th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sevilla 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded, Alavés 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sevilla: 5W 2D 3L, goals 16–16; Alavés: 3W 3D 5L, goals 15–17.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 20 meetings: Sevilla 8 wins, Alavés 5 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 25–21.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (13.2%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 48% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 20; Sevilla 8 wins, 7 draws, Alavés 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Sevilla 16–16, Alavés 15–17.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
  5. Not available: Sevilla 0, Alavés 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 52%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Sevilla: no absences. Not available for Alavés: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Sevilla vs Alavés: the numbers side by side

SevillaAlavés
78%Form22%
67%Attack33%
52%Defence48%
38%Head to head62%
45%Goals55%
57.8%Overall42.2%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

SevillaLWLDL
AlavésLDLLD

Sevilla vs Alavés: head to head

All matches
8Sevilla
7Draws
5Alavés
14/2/26 · Sevilla 1–1 Alavés
17/12/25 · Alavés 1–0 Sevilla
20/9/25 · Alavés 1–2 Sevilla
20/4/25 · Sevilla 1–1 Alavés
20/9/24 · Alavés 2–1 Sevilla
12/1/24 · Sevilla 2–3 Alavés

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Sevilla vs Alavés: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Sevilla vs Alavés?

On the result, our pick is Sevilla to win (2.05); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Sevilla or draw (1X).

Who will win Sevilla vs Alavés?

As we see it: Sevilla to win 49%, the draw 28%, Alavés to win 23%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

6 November 2026, 20:00, at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla.

Who will be missing?

Sevilla: no absences. Alavés: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.28), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.73).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 48% (odds 1.95).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (13.2%), 1–1 (12.5%), 2–0 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna 2 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.