Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Racing Santander v Real Madrid takes place on 1 November 2026 · 15:15 at El Sardinero (Santander); Jose Luis Munuera Montero will referee. We back Real Madrid (78%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 11.50 | 8.50 | 1.26 |
| Market average | 10.82 | 7.58 | 1.22 |
| Lowest odds | 8.87 | 6.76 | 1.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.04 | 89.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 4.03 | 23.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 13:36. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Racing Santander 1–3 Real Madrid, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Real Madrid 3rd (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Racing Santander 3W 2D 5L (15:26), Real Madrid 8W 0D 2L (25:10).
- H2H: 4 matches: Racing Santander 0W 1D 3L, goals 2–13.
- Absences: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: injuries, suspensions, absences
Racing Santander
- A. Martinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Salinasabsence · will miss the match
Real Madrid
- R. Asenciobroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Mendyhip injury · will miss the match
- Rodrygoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Valverdehamstring injury · will miss the match
- Vinicius Juniorred card · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Racing Santander
Home and away
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Racing Santander: 16th, 11 points from 11 matches (3W 2D 6L). Real Madrid: 3rd, 27 points (9W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Racing Santander 1.5 scored and 2.6 conceded, Real Madrid 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Racing Santander: 3W 2D 5L, goals 15–26; Real Madrid: 8W 0D 2L, goals 25–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Racing Santander 0 wins, Real Madrid 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 2–13.
What to expect
We make Real Madrid the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–3 (8.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.26, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 59% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 77%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Racing Santander 0 wins, 1 draw, Real Madrid 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Racing Santander 15–26, Real Madrid 25–10.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 77%.
- Not available: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Racing Santander: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Not available for Real Madrid: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Racing SantanderLWLDLReal MadridWWWWLRacing Santander vs Real Madrid: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
On the result, our pick is Real Madrid to win (1.26); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Real Madrid (X2).
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
As we see it: Racing Santander to win 9%, the draw 13%, Real Madrid to win 78%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 15:15, at El Sardinero, Santander. Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero.
Who will be missing?
Racing Santander: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Real Madrid: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 77% chance (odds 1.27), against 23% for under 2.5 (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–3 (8.2%), 0–3 (8.2%), 1–2 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.