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Serie A · Matchweek 9 · 28 October 2026 · 17:30

Parma vs Udinese tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, Serie A

DLLLW
0–0
LDLLL
1Parma2.87
XDraw3.27
2Udinese2.83

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Parma entertain Udinese on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at Ennio Tardini (Parma), with Davide Massa the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Parma vs Udinese: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Udinese (X2)
1.48
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.80
65%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Parma vs Udinese: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.873.272.83
Market average2.753.112.72
Lowest odds2.702.992.62
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.371.3370.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.192.0845.9%
Under 2.5 goals1.801.7754.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.803.6525.9%
BTTS – yes1.801.7653.0%
BTTS – no2.001.9847.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 16:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Parma 1–1 Udinese, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Parma 18th (5 points), Udinese 19th (5 points).
  • Form in the competition: Parma 1W 1D 6L (5:15), Udinese 1W 1D 6L (9:18).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Parma 9W 4D 8L, goals 30–31.
  • Absences: Parma 2, Udinese 5.

Who will win Parma vs Udinese?

Parma35%
Draw31%
Udinese35%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Parma vs Udinese: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals74.1% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.5% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.37
Likely
Draw or Udinese (X2)65.5% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: yes53.0% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: no47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.19
Outsider
Udinese to win34.9% · fair odds 2.86 · best 2.83
Outsider
Parma to win34.5% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.87
Outsider
Draw30.5% · fair odds 3.28 · best 3.27
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.9% · fair odds 3.86 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.83 · Under 1.91
probability of over 51.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.8%
0 : 110.3%
1 : 010.3%
0 : 08.2%
1 : 28.0%
2 : 18.0%

Parma vs Udinese: injuries, suspensions, absences

Parma

  • N. Elphegeillness · will miss the match
  • L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match

Udinese

  • D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
  • V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
  • I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
  • O. Soletmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Zanolimuscle injury · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Parma vs Udinese: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Parma

28 OctDParma 0–0 Udinese
24 OctLLazio 2–1 Parma
19 OctLParma 0–3 Torino
10 OctLInter 3–0 Parma
20 SeptWParma 2–1 Genoa

Udinese

31 OctLUdinese 2–5 AS Roma
28 OctDParma 0–0 Udinese
25 OctLUdinese 0–2 AC Milan
18 OctLUdinese 0–3 Lecce
12 OctLTorino 2–1 Udinese

Home and away

Parma at home5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 3–6
Udinese away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 7–9

Parma vs Udinese: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Parma: 18th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L). Udinese: 19th, 5 points (1W 2D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Parma 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded, Udinese 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Parma: 1W 1D 6L, goals 5–15; Udinese: 1W 1D 6L, goals 9–18.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Parma 9 wins, Udinese 8 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 30–31.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.8%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 21; Parma 9 wins, 4 draws, Udinese 8 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Parma 5–15, Udinese 9–18.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
  5. Not available: Parma 2, Udinese 5.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Parma: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Not available for Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Parma vs Udinese: the numbers side by side

ParmaUdinese
100%Form0%
50%Attack50%
54%Defence46%
29%Head to head71%
38%Goals62%
41.6%Overall58.4%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

ParmaDLLLW
UdineseLDLLL

Parma vs Udinese: head to head

All matches
9Parma
4Draws
8Udinese
28/10/26 · Parma 0–0 Udinese
18/4/26 · Udinese 0–1 Parma
29/11/25 · Parma 0–2 Udinese
1/3/25 · Udinese 1–0 Parma
16/9/24 · Parma 2–3 Udinese
21/2/21 · Parma 2–2 Udinese

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Parma vs Udinese: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Parma vs Udinese?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Udinese (X2) (1.48); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Udinese (X2).

Who will win Parma vs Udinese?

As we see it: Parma to win 35%, the draw 31%, Udinese to win 35%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 17:30, at Ennio Tardini, Parma. Referee: Davide Massa.

Who will be missing?

Parma: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.19), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.80).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.8%), 0–1 (10.3%), 1–0 (10.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.