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Eredivisie · Matchweek 13 · 22 November 2026 · 11:15

Twente vs Willem II tip, odds and prediction, 22 November 2026, Eredivisie

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VS
1Twente1.05
XDraw19.50
2Willem II46.00

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:16

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Twente entertain Willem II on 22 November 2026 · 11:15 at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede). Twente (91%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Twente vs Willem II: tip and prediction
Result
Twente to win
1.05
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Twente & over 2.5 goals
1.30
77% · fair combo odds
91%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
3–0likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Twente or draw (1X) – probability 97%, odds up to 1.01. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Twente vs Willem II: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.0519.5046.00
Market average1.0415.5035.00
Lowest odds1.0313.0026.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.041.0391.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.171.1580.8%
Under 2.5 goals5.004.8419.2%
Over 3.5 goals1.471.4464.2%
BTTS – yes2.062.0645.0%
BTTS – no1.701.6855.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Twente 3–0 Willem II, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • Table: Twente 4th (23 points), Willem II 18th (2 points).
  • Absences: Twente 0, Willem II 0.

Who will win Twente vs Willem II?

Twente91%
Draw6%
Willem II3%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Twente vs Willem II: more betting markets

Twente or draw (1X)97.2% · fair odds 1.03 · best 1.01
Likely
Over 1.5 goals91.5% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.04
Likely
Twente to win90.9% · fair odds 1.10 · best 1.05
Likely
Over 2.5 goals80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 3.5 goals64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: no55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: yes45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.06
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals35.8% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.62
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals19.2% · fair odds 5.22 · best 5.00
Outsider
Draw6.3% · fair odds 15.98 · best 19.50
Outsider
Willem II to win2.8% · fair odds 35.25 · best 46.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

3 : 011.3%
4 : 010.6%
2 : 09.1%
5 : 08.0%
3 : 16.8%
4 : 16.4%

Twente vs Willem II: injuries, suspensions, absences

Twente

  • No reported absences

Willem II

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Twente vs Willem II: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

Twente

1 NovWExcelsior 0–9 Twente
25 OctWAZ Alkmaar 0–2 Twente
22 OctWLincoln Red Imps FC 1–4 Twente
18 OctLTwente 1–2 Utrecht
15 OctWTwente 1–0 FC Thun

Willem II

31 OctLPSV Eindhoven 7–0 Willem II
24 OctLWillem II 1–6 Cambuur
17 OctLSparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II
11 OctLUtrecht 3–1 Willem II
19 SeptLWillem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard

Home and away

Twente at home5 matches: 4W 0D 1L, goals 10–5
Willem II away6 matches: 0W 1D 5L, goals 6–23

Twente vs Willem II: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Twente: 4th, 23 points from 11 matches (7W 2D 2L). Willem II: 18th, 2 points (0W 2D 9L).

What to expect

We make Twente the favourites. The projected scoreline is 4–1, close to 5 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.05, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 45% and over 2.5 goals is 81%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 5 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 81%.
  2. Not available: Twente 0, Willem II 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 5 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Twente: no absences. Not available for Willem II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.1%

Twente vs Willem II: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Twente vs Willem II?

On the result, our pick is Twente to win (1.05); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Twente or draw (1X).

Who will win Twente vs Willem II?

As we see it: Twente to win 91%, the draw 6%, Willem II to win 3%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 November 2026, 11:15, at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.

Who will be missing?

Twente: no absences. Willem II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 81% chance (odds 1.17), against 19% for under 2.5 (odds 5.00).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 45% (odds 2.06).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 3–0 (11.3%), 4–0 (10.6%), 2–0 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.