Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–9. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Excelsior entertain Twente on 1 November 2026 · 13:30 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam), with Erwin Blank the man in the middle. Twente (63%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Excelsior vs Twente: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 6.50 | 4.90 | 1.53 |
| Market average | 5.82 | 4.61 | 1.48 |
| Lowest odds | 5.32 | 4.20 | 1.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.15 | 43.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.27 | 40.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 13:02. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Excelsior 1–2 Twente, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Excelsior 15th (11 points), Twente 4th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Excelsior 3W 2D 5L (16:19), Twente 6W 2D 2L (19:10).
- H2H: 18 matches: Excelsior 5W 6D 7L, goals 18–26.
- Absences: Excelsior 0, Twente 6.
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Excelsior vs Twente: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Excelsior vs Twente: injuries, suspensions, absences
Excelsior
- No reported absences
Twente
- M. Brunsnot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Lemkinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Thorvaldsennot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Weidmannred card · will miss the match
- L. Unnerstallnot in the squad · doubtful
- B. van Rooijinjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Excelsior vs Twente: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Excelsior
Home and away
Excelsior vs Twente: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Excelsior: 15th, 11 points from 11 matches (3W 2D 6L). Twente: 4th, 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Excelsior 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded, Twente 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Excelsior: 3W 2D 5L, goals 16–19; Twente: 6W 2D 2L, goals 19–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Excelsior 5 wins, Twente 7 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 18–26.
What to expect
We make Twente the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 18; Excelsior 5 wins, 6 draws, Twente 7 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Excelsior 16–19, Twente 19–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: Excelsior 0, Twente 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Excelsior: no absences. Not available for Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, D. Weidmann, L. Unnerstall, B. van Rooij. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Excelsior vs Twente: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ExcelsiorLLLLDTwenteWWLDWExcelsior vs Twente: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Excelsior vs Twente: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Excelsior vs Twente?
On the result, our pick is Twente to win (1.53); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Twente (X2).
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
As we see it: Excelsior to win 16%, the draw 20%, Twente to win 63%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 13:30, at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam. Referee: Erwin Blank.
Who will be missing?
Excelsior: no absences. Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, D. Weidmann, L. Unnerstall, B. van Rooij. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.50), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.8%), 0–2 (8.9%), 1–1 (8.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.