Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar v Twente takes place on 25 October 2026 · 19:00 at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） (Alkmaar); Alex Bos will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.30 | 3.94 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.78 | 2.88 |
| Lowest odds | 2.14 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.62 | 35.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.17 | 43.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.71 | 34.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Twente, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points), Twente 4th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: AZ Alkmaar 6W 2D 1L (20:10), Twente 5W 2D 2L (17:10).
- H2H: 35 matches: AZ Alkmaar 18W 5D 12L, goals 60–48.
- Absences: AZ Alkmaar 4, Twente 4.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: injuries, suspensions, absences
AZ Alkmaar
- J. Hornkampinjury · will miss the match
- S. Resinkknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Smitinjury · will miss the match
- J. Clasieknock · doubtful
Twente
- M. Brunsnot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Lemkinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Thorvaldsennot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Unnerstallnot in the squad · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
AZ Alkmaar
Home and away
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AZ Alkmaar: 5th, 20 points from 11 matches (6W 2D 3L). Twente: 4th, 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AZ Alkmaar 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded, Twente 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AZ Alkmaar: 6W 2D 1L, goals 20–10; Twente: 5W 2D 2L, goals 17–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 35 meetings: AZ Alkmaar 18 wins, Twente 12 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 60–48.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 35; AZ Alkmaar 18 wins, 5 draws, Twente 12 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: AZ Alkmaar 20–10, Twente 17–10.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Not available: AZ Alkmaar 4, Twente 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AZ Alkmaar: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, J. Clasie. Not available for Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, L. Unnerstall. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AZ AlkmaarLLDLWTwenteWWLDWAZ Alkmaar vs Twente: head to head
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AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
On the result, our pick is AZ Alkmaar or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for AZ Alkmaar or draw (1X).
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
As we see it: AZ Alkmaar to win 42%, the draw 25%, Twente to win 33%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 19:00, at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar. Referee: Alex Bos.
Who will be missing?
AZ Alkmaar: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, J. Clasie. Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, L. Unnerstall. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.50), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.0%), 2–1 (8.8%), 1–2 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.