Bet with MINO CASINO →Twente entertain Ajax on 8 November 2026 · 13:30 at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Twente vs Ajax: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.45 | 4.00 | 2.85 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.91 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.40 |
| Megapari | 2.29 | 3.88 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.38 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.95 | 2.89 | 32.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.97 | 47.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.35 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.94 | 31.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Twente 1–1 Ajax, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Twente 4th (23 points), Ajax 2nd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Twente 7W 2D 2L (28:10), Ajax 7W 3D 1L (30:13).
- H2H: 32 matches: Twente 6W 10D 16L, goals 38–64.
- Absences: Twente 0, Ajax 0.
Who will win Twente vs Ajax?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Twente vs Ajax: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Twente vs Ajax: injuries, suspensions, absences
Twente
- No reported absences
Ajax
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Twente vs Ajax: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Twente
Home and away
Twente vs Ajax: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Twente: 4th, 23 points from 11 matches (7W 2D 2L). Ajax: 2nd, 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Twente 2.5 scored and 0.9 conceded, Ajax 2.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Twente: 7W 2D 2L, goals 28–10; Ajax: 7W 3D 1L, goals 30–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: Twente 6 wins, Ajax 16 wins, plus 10 draws; goals 38–64.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 68% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 32; Twente 6 wins, 10 draws, Ajax 16 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Twente 28–10, Ajax 30–13.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Twente 0, Ajax 0.
Alternative tip: Twente or draw (1X)
Other option: Twente or draw (1X) (probability 65%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Twente: no absences. Not available for Ajax: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Twente vs Ajax: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
TwenteWWLDWAjaxWWWDDTwente vs Ajax: head to head
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Twente vs Ajax: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Twente vs Ajax?
On the result, our pick is Twente or draw (1X) (1.57); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.86). Prefer less risk? Go for Twente or draw (1X).
Who will win Twente vs Ajax?
As we see it: Twente to win 41%, the draw 24%, Ajax to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 13:30, at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.
Who will be missing?
Twente: no absences. Ajax: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.41), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 2.95).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.4%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.