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Eliteserien · Matchweek 24 · 18 October 2026 · 16:00

Molde vs Start tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Eliteserien

LWWDL
6–1
LWLLL
1Molde1.35
XDraw5.89
2Start8.17

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Molde v Start takes place on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Aker Stadion (Molde); Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway will referee. We back Molde (71%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Molde vs Start: tip and prediction
Result
Molde to win
1.35
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
Combo
Molde & over 2.5 goals
1.84
54% · fair combo odds
71%chance of the result
59%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Molde or draw (1X) – probability 88%, odds up to 1.10.

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Molde vs Start: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.355.898.17
Market average1.325.397.68
Lowest odds1.295.007.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.111.0886.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.371.3469.4%
Under 2.5 goals3.223.0430.6%
Over 3.5 goals1.941.8849.9%
BTTS – yes1.621.5858.8%
BTTS – no2.302.2541.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Molde 2–1 Start, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Molde 3rd (43 points), Start 16th (19 points).
  • H2H: 8 matches: Molde 5W 3D 0L, goals 24–9.
  • Absences: Molde 0, Start 0.

Who will win Molde vs Start?

Molde71%
Draw17%
Start12%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Molde vs Start: more betting markets

Molde or draw (1X)87.9% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals86.0% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.11
Likely
Molde to win70.5% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.35
Likely
Over 2.5 goals69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.37
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Under 3.5 goals50.1% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.94
Possible
Over 3.5 goals49.9% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.94
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals30.6% · fair odds 3.26 · best 3.22
Outsider
Draw17.3% · fair odds 5.77 · best 5.89
Outsider
Start to win12.1% · fair odds 8.23 · best 8.17
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.6%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.3%
2 : 09.3%
3 : 17.9%
3 : 07.9%
1 : 17.3%
1 : 07.3%

Molde vs Start: injuries, suspensions, absences

Molde

  • No reported absences

Start

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Molde vs Start: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Molde

1 NovLBrann 3–2 Molde
25 OctWMolde 5–1 Fredrikstad
18 OctWMolde 6–1 Start
11 OctDLillestrøm 2–2 Molde
19 SeptLMolde 1–2 Aalesund

Start

1 NovLStart 0–1 Lillestrøm
25 OctWStart 1–0 Sandefjord
18 OctLMolde 6–1 Start
11 OctLStart 2–4 Ham-Kam
20 SeptLSandefjord 3–0 Start

Home and away

Molde at home13 matches: 9W 1D 3L, goals 35–15
Start away12 matches: 1W 1D 10L, goals 11–35

Molde vs Start: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Molde: 3rd, 43 points from 25 matches (13W 4D 8L). Start: 16th, 19 points (5W 4D 16L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Molde 5 wins, Start 0 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 24–9.

What to expect

We make Molde the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 59% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 8; Molde 5 wins, 3 draws, Start 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 4.1 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
  4. Not available: Molde 0, Start 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Molde: no absences. Not available for Start: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Molde vs Start: head to head

All matches
5Molde
3Draws
0Start
18/10/26 · Molde 6–1 Start
19/4/26 · Start 1–1 Molde
5/8/20 · Molde 5–0 Start
24/6/20 · Start 2–3 Molde
29/10/18 · Start 1–3 Molde
27/5/18 · Molde 3–1 Start

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Molde vs Start: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Molde vs Start?

On the result, our pick is Molde to win (1.35); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Molde or draw (1X).

Who will win Molde vs Start?

As we see it: Molde to win 71%, the draw 17%, Start to win 12%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 16:00, at Aker Stadion, Molde. Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway.

Who will be missing?

Molde: no absences. Start: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.37), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.22).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.3%), 2–0 (9.3%), 3–1 (7.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.