Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Molde v Start takes place on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Aker Stadion (Molde); Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway will referee. We back Molde (71%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Molde vs Start: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.35 | 5.89 | 8.17 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.39 | 7.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.22 | 3.04 | 30.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Molde 2–1 Start, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Molde 3rd (43 points), Start 16th (19 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Molde 5W 3D 0L, goals 24–9.
- Absences: Molde 0, Start 0.
Who will win Molde vs Start?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Molde vs Start: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Molde vs Start: injuries, suspensions, absences
Molde
- No reported absences
Start
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Molde vs Start: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 | |
| 2 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 | |
| 5 | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 | |
| 7 | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 | |
| 15 | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Molde
Home and away
Molde vs Start: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Molde: 3rd, 43 points from 25 matches (13W 4D 8L). Start: 16th, 19 points (5W 4D 16L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Molde 5 wins, Start 0 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 24–9.
What to expect
We make Molde the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 59% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Molde 5 wins, 3 draws, Start 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.1 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Not available: Molde 0, Start 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Molde: no absences. Not available for Start: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Molde vs Start: head to head
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Molde vs Start: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Molde vs Start?
On the result, our pick is Molde to win (1.35); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Molde or draw (1X).
Who will win Molde vs Start?
As we see it: Molde to win 71%, the draw 17%, Start to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 16:00, at Aker Stadion, Molde. Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Molde: no absences. Start: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.37), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.22).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.3%), 2–0 (9.3%), 3–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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