Bet with MINO CASINO →Lillestrøm entertain Aalesund on 8 November 2026 · 16:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Kjeller). Lillestrøm (52%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.83 | 4.43 | 3.74 |
| Market average | 1.79 | 4.16 | 3.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.71 | 3.76 | 3.36 |
| Megapari | 1.82 | 4.28 | 3.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.10 | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.36 | 69.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.15 | 3.06 | 30.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.92 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.39 | 1.37 | 67.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.94 | 2.88 | 32.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.0%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 2–1 Aalesund, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 5th (42 points), Aalesund 14th (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 13W 3D 9L (36:33), Aalesund 5W 9D 11L (43:57).
- H2H: 12 matches: Lillestrøm 6W 3D 3L, goals 26–14.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 0, Aalesund 0.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Aalesund?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Aalesund
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lillestrøm: 5th, 42 points from 25 matches (13W 3D 9L). Aalesund: 14th, 24 points (5W 9D 11L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lillestrøm 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded, Aalesund 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 13W 3D 9L, goals 36–33; Aalesund: 5W 9D 11L, goals 43–57.
- Head to head. Head to head over 12 meetings: Lillestrøm 6 wins, Aalesund 3 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 26–14.
What to expect
We make Lillestrøm the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 68% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 12; Lillestrøm 6 wins, 3 draws, Aalesund 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lillestrøm 36–33, Aalesund 43–57.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Not available: Lillestrøm 0, Aalesund 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 1.94). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lillestrøm: no absences. Not available for Aalesund: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LillestrømWWWDLAalesundLLWLWLillestrøm vs Aalesund: head to head
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Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lillestrøm vs Aalesund?
On the result, our pick is Lillestrøm to win (1.83); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.92). Prefer less risk? Go for Lillestrøm or draw (1X).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Aalesund?
As we see it: Lillestrøm to win 52%, the draw 22%, Aalesund to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 16:00, at Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: no absences. Aalesund: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.37), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.15).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 68% (odds 1.39).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.2%), 1–1 (8.7%), 2–2 (6.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.