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Eliteserien · Matchweek 26 · 8 November 2026 · 16:00

Sandefjord vs Molde tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Eliteserien

VS
LWWDL
1Sandefjord4.12
XDraw4.49
2Molde1.76

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:00

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Sandefjord v Molde takes place on 8 November 2026 · 16:00 at Jotun Arena (Sandefjord). We back Molde (54%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Sandefjord vs Molde: tip and prediction
Result
Molde to win
1.76
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.91
Combo
Molde & over 2.5 goals
2.39
42% · fair combo odds
54%chance of the result
50%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Molde (X2) – probability 76%, odds up to 1.27.

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Sandefjord vs Molde: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.124.491.76
Market average3.894.241.71
Lowest odds3.603.881.63
Megapari3.904.381.76
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.0985.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.371.3469.3%
Under 2.5 goals3.173.0330.7%
Over 3.5 goals1.911.9050.0%
BTTS – yes1.401.3867.4%
BTTS – no2.902.8432.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.9%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sandefjord 1–2 Molde, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sandefjord 12th (27 points), Molde 3rd (43 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sandefjord 7W 6D 12L (26:34), Molde 13W 4D 8L (59:39).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Sandefjord 6W 2D 10L, goals 27–39.
  • Absences: Sandefjord 0, Molde 0.

Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?

Sandefjord24%
Draw22%
Molde54%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Sandefjord vs Molde: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals85.8% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.12
Likely
Draw or Molde (X2)76.2% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.27
Likely
Over 2.5 goals69.3% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.37
Likely
Both teams score: yes67.4% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.40
Likely
Molde to win54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.76
Possible
Over 3.5 goals50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.91
Possible
Under 3.5 goals50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.93
Outsider
Both teams score: no32.6% · fair odds 3.07 · best 2.90
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals30.7% · fair odds 3.26 · best 3.17
Outsider
Sandefjord to win23.8% · fair odds 4.20 · best 4.12
Outsider
Draw21.9% · fair odds 4.56 · best 4.49
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.3%
1 : 18.6%
1 : 36.7%
0 : 26.6%
2 : 26.5%
0 : 16.2%

Sandefjord vs Molde: injuries, suspensions, absences

Sandefjord

  • No reported absences

Molde

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Sandefjord vs Molde: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Sandefjord

31 OctWAalesund 3–4 Sandefjord
25 OctLStart 1–0 Sandefjord
18 OctLSandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
10 OctDRosenborg 1–1 Sandefjord
20 SeptWSandefjord 3–0 Start

Molde

1 NovLBrann 3–2 Molde
25 OctWMolde 5–1 Fredrikstad
18 OctWMolde 6–1 Start
11 OctDLillestrøm 2–2 Molde
19 SeptLMolde 1–2 Aalesund

Home and away

Sandefjord at home12 matches: 3W 5D 4L, goals 10–12
Molde away12 matches: 4W 3D 5L, goals 24–24

Sandefjord vs Molde: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Sandefjord: 12th, 27 points from 25 matches (7W 6D 12L). Molde: 3rd, 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sandefjord 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, Molde 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sandefjord: 7W 6D 12L, goals 26–34; Molde: 13W 4D 8L, goals 59–39.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Sandefjord 6 wins, Molde 10 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 27–39.

What to expect

We make Molde the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.91), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 67% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Sandefjord 6 wins, 2 draws, Molde 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.7 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Sandefjord 26–34, Molde 59–39.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
  5. Not available: Sandefjord 0, Molde 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 1.93). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Sandefjord: no absences. Not available for Molde: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Sandefjord vs Molde: the numbers side by side

SandefjordMolde
50%Form50%
33%Attack67%
56%Defence44%
80%Head to head20%
73%Goals27%
55.2%Overall44.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

SandefjordWLLDW
MoldeLWWDL

Sandefjord vs Molde: head to head

All matches
6Sandefjord
2Draws
10Molde
30/5/26 · Molde 2–1 Sandefjord
19/10/25 · Molde 1–3 Sandefjord
6/4/25 · Sandefjord 3–0 Molde
19/10/24 · Molde 0–1 Sandefjord
5/5/24 · Sandefjord 3–1 Molde
12/8/23 · Sandefjord 2–2 Molde

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Sandefjord vs Molde: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Sandefjord vs Molde?

On the result, our pick is Molde to win (1.76); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.91). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Molde (X2).

Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?

As we see it: Sandefjord to win 24%, the draw 22%, Molde to win 54%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 16:00, at Jotun Arena, Sandefjord.

Who will be missing?

Sandefjord: no absences. Molde: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.37), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.17).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 67% (odds 1.40).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (9.3%), 1–1 (8.6%), 1–3 (6.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovViking vs KFUM Oslo 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.