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Eliteserien · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 16:00

Start vs Sandefjord tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Eliteserien

LWLLL
1–0
1Start2.42
XDraw4.05
2Sandefjord2.75

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:04

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Start and Sandefjord meet on 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), under referee Rohit Saggi. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Start vs Sandefjord: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Start or draw (1X)
1.47
Goals
Both teams to score
1.55
65%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Start vs Sandefjord: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.424.052.75
Market average2.343.772.64
Lowest odds2.253.502.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1780.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5859.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.3340.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.502.4538.2%
BTTS – yes1.551.5062.0%
BTTS – no2.632.4538.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Start 1–1 Sandefjord, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Start 16th (19 points), Sandefjord 12th (27 points).
  • Form in the competition: Start 4W 4D 15L (25:54), Sandefjord 6W 6D 11L (22:30).
  • H2H: 11 matches: Start 2W 4D 5L, goals 11–20.
  • Absences: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.

Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?

Start40%
Draw25%
Sandefjord35%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Start vs Sandefjord: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.1% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Start or draw (1X)64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.58
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.5% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.62
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.5% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.46
Outsider
Start to win39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.50
Outsider
Both teams score: no38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.63
Outsider
Sandefjord to win35.4% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw24.8% · fair odds 4.04 · best 4.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.85 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.8%
2 : 18.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 07.2%
0 : 16.8%
2 : 26.5%

Start vs Sandefjord: injuries, suspensions, absences

Start

  • J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
  • F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
  • E. Segbergabsence · will miss the match
  • K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match

Sandefjord

  • D. Koswalknee injury · will miss the match
  • F. Loftesnes-Bjunethigh injury · will miss the match
  • M. Melchiorknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Mollerankle injury · will miss the match
  • E. Hadayainjury · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Start vs Sandefjord: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Start

1 NovLStart 0–1 Lillestrøm
25 OctWStart 1–0 Sandefjord
18 OctLMolde 6–1 Start
11 OctLStart 2–4 Ham-Kam
20 SeptLSandefjord 3–0 Start

Sandefjord

31 OctWAalesund 3–4 Sandefjord
25 OctLStart 1–0 Sandefjord
18 OctLSandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
10 OctDRosenborg 1–1 Sandefjord
20 SeptWSandefjord 3–0 Start

Home and away

Start at home13 matches: 4W 3D 6L, goals 15–20
Sandefjord away13 matches: 4W 1D 8L, goals 16–22

Start vs Sandefjord: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Start: 16th, 19 points from 25 matches (5W 4D 16L). Sandefjord: 12th, 27 points (7W 6D 12L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Start 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded, Sandefjord 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Start: 4W 4D 15L, goals 25–54; Sandefjord: 6W 6D 11L, goals 22–30.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 11 meetings: Start 2 wins, Sandefjord 5 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 11–20.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Sandefjord look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 11; Start 2 wins, 4 draws, Sandefjord 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Start 25–54, Sandefjord 22–30.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  5. Not available: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Not available for Sandefjord: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Start vs Sandefjord: the numbers side by side

StartSandefjord
38%Form63%
42%Attack58%
32%Defence68%
29%Head to head71%
33%Goals67%
36.7%Overall63.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

StartLWLLL
SandefjordWLLDW

Start vs Sandefjord: head to head

All matches
2Start
4Draws
5Sandefjord
25/10/26 · Start 1–0 Sandefjord
20/9/26 · Sandefjord 3–0 Start
8/3/26 · Sandefjord 3–2 Start
5/3/23 · Start 1–0 Sandefjord
2/5/21 · Start 1–1 Sandefjord
24/10/20 · Start 0–1 Sandefjord

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Start vs Sandefjord: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Start vs Sandefjord?

On the result, our pick is Start or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Start or draw (1X).

Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?

As we see it: Start to win 40%, the draw 25%, Sandefjord to win 35%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 16:00, at Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Rohit Saggi.

Who will be missing?

Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Sandefjord: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.62), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.