Bet with MINO CASINO →Sporting Gijón v Valladolid takes place on 8 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal El Molinón (Gijón). We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.37 | 3.38 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.25 | 3.02 |
| Lowest odds | 2.29 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| Megapari | 2.34 | 3.34 | 3.06 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.07 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 54.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.53 | 26.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.94 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sporting Gijón 1–1 Valladolid, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sporting Gijón 5th (22 points), Valladolid 16th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Sporting Gijón 7W 1D 4L (13:13), Valladolid 3W 3D 5L (16:16).
- H2H: 11 matches: Sporting Gijón 2W 3D 6L, goals 13–20.
- Absences: Sporting Gijón 0, Valladolid 0.
Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sporting Gijón
- No reported absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 | Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sporting Gijón
Home and away
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sporting Gijón: 5th, 22 points from 12 matches (7W 1D 4L). Valladolid: 16th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sporting Gijón 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded, Valladolid 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sporting Gijón: 7W 1D 4L, goals 13–13; Valladolid: 3W 3D 5L, goals 16–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 11 meetings: Sporting Gijón 2 wins, Valladolid 6 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 13–20.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 11; Sporting Gijón 2 wins, 3 draws, Valladolid 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sporting Gijón 13–13, Valladolid 16–16.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Sporting Gijón 0, Valladolid 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sporting Gijón: no absences. Not available for Valladolid: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Sporting GijónWLWWWValladolidLLWDWSporting Gijón vs Valladolid: head to head
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Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid?
On the result, our pick is Sporting Gijón or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Sporting Gijón or draw (1X).
Who will win Sporting Gijón vs Valladolid?
As we see it: Sporting Gijón to win 40%, the draw 29%, Valladolid to win 31%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 17:30, at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón.
Who will be missing?
Sporting Gijón: no absences. Valladolid: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.18), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.85).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 1–0 (11.1%), 0–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.