Bet with MINO CASINO →Valladolid v Leganés takes place on 2 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid); Damaso Arcediano Monescillo will referee. We back Valladolid (45%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Valladolid vs Leganés: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.14 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 2.07 | 3.33 | 3.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Megapari | 2.13 | 3.42 | 3.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.08 | 45.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.73 | 54.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.97 | 3.72 | 25.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.84 | 50.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.87 | 49.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Valladolid 1–1 Leganés, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Valladolid 16th (12 points), Leganés 17th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Valladolid 3W 3D 5L (16:16), Leganés 3W 3D 5L (7:16).
- H2H: 14 matches: Valladolid 4W 4D 6L, goals 15–24.
- Absences: Valladolid 0, Leganés 0.
Who will win Valladolid vs Leganés?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Valladolid vs Leganés: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Valladolid vs Leganés: injuries, suspensions, absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Leganés
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Valladolid vs Leganés: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 | Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 | Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valladolid
Home and away
Valladolid vs Leganés: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Valladolid: 16th, 12 points from 11 matches (3W 3D 5L). Leganés: 17th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Valladolid 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded, Leganés 0.6 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Valladolid: 3W 3D 5L, goals 16–16; Leganés: 3W 3D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Valladolid 4 wins, Leganés 6 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 15–24.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 14; Valladolid 4 wins, 4 draws, Leganés 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Valladolid 16–16, Leganés 7–16.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Not available: Valladolid 0, Leganés 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 50%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Valladolid: no absences. Not available for Leganés: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Valladolid vs Leganés: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ValladolidLLWDWLeganésDLLLLValladolid vs Leganés: head to head
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Valladolid vs Leganés: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Valladolid vs Leganés?
On the result, our pick is Valladolid to win (2.14); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Valladolid or draw (1X).
Who will win Valladolid vs Leganés?
As we see it: Valladolid to win 45%, the draw 28%, Leganés to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
2 November 2026, 17:30, at Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid. Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo.
Who will be missing?
Valladolid: no absences. Leganés: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.18), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.87).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (11.9%), 2–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.