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Segunda División · Matchweek 13 · 6 November 2026 · 19:30

Castellón vs Eibar tip, odds and prediction, 6 November 2026, Segunda División

VS
DLDLW
1Castellón1.67
XDraw4.38
2Eibar5.00

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 12:53

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Castellón and Eibar meet on 6 November 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana). Castellón (58%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Castellón vs Eibar: tip and prediction
Result
Castellón to win
1.67
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.60
Combo
Castellón & over 2.5 goals
2.49
40% · fair combo odds
58%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Castellón or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.21.

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Castellón vs Eibar: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.674.385.00
Market average1.624.114.73
Lowest odds1.573.904.50
Megapari1.624.324.94
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1780.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.651.5959.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.392.3340.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4638.6%
BTTS – yes1.651.6058.0%
BTTS – no2.262.2242.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Castellón 2–1 Eibar, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Castellón 1st (27 points), Eibar 3rd (23 points).
  • Form in the competition: Castellón 8W 2D 1L (22:4), Eibar 7W 2D 3L (21:14).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Castellón 2W 1D 1L, goals 4–2.
  • Absences: Castellón 0, Eibar 0.

Who will win Castellón vs Eibar?

Castellón58%
Draw23%
Eibar20%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Castellón vs Eibar: more betting markets

Castellón or draw (1X)80.3% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 1.5 goals80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.4% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.4% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.65
Possible
Both teams score: yes58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.65
Possible
Castellón to win57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: no42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.26
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.6% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.39
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.6% · fair odds 2.59 · best 2.57
Outsider
Draw22.7% · fair odds 4.40 · best 4.38
Outsider
Eibar to win19.7% · fair odds 5.06 · best 5.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.9%
2 : 09.0%
1 : 09.0%
3 : 16.6%
3 : 06.0%

Castellón vs Eibar: injuries, suspensions, absences

Castellón

  • No reported absences

Eibar

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Castellón vs Eibar: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
6Girona126-3-322:1121
7Burgos126-3-317:1321
8Mallorca115-4-213:619
9Oviedo115-3-315:1218
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Córdoba125-1-619:2216
12Tenerife113-5-313:1514
13Eldense124-2-613:1714
14Las Palmas114-2-514:1914
15Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
16Valladolid113-3-516:1612
17Leganés113-3-57:1612
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz112-4-514:1410
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Castellón

1 NovDBurgos 1–1 Castellón
25 OctWCastellón 4–0 Sporting Gijón
17 OctWLas Palmas 0–3 Castellón
11 OctLFC Andorra 1–0 Castellón
4 OctDCastellón 1–1 AD Ceuta FC

Eibar

31 OctDEibar 1–1 Almería
24 OctLCórdoba 2–0 Eibar
17 OctDEibar 1–1 Mallorca
12 OctLOviedo 3–1 Eibar
3 OctWAlbacete 1–3 Eibar

Home and away

Castellón at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 12–1
Eibar away6 matches: 4W 0D 2L, goals 11–7

Castellón vs Eibar: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Castellón: 1st, 27 points from 12 matches (8W 3D 1L). Eibar: 3rd, 23 points (7W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Castellón 2.0 scored and 0.4 conceded, Eibar 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Castellón: 8W 2D 1L, goals 22–4; Eibar: 7W 2D 3L, goals 21–14.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Castellón 2 wins, Eibar 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 4–2.

What to expect

We make Castellón the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.60), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 4; Castellón 2 wins, 1 draw, Eibar 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 1.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Castellón 22–4, Eibar 21–14.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  5. Not available: Castellón 0, Eibar 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Castellón: no absences. Not available for Eibar: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Castellón vs Eibar: the numbers side by side

CastellónEibar
67%Form33%
63%Attack38%
80%Defence20%
64%Head to head36%
67%Goals33%
71.0%Overall29.2%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

CastellónDWWLD
EibarDLDLW

Castellón vs Eibar: head to head

All matches
2Castellón
1Draws
1Eibar
31/5/26 · Castellón 2–1 Eibar
12/10/25 · Eibar 0–0 Castellón
15/2/25 · Castellón 2–0 Eibar
17/8/24 · Eibar 1–0 Castellón

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Castellón vs Eibar: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Castellón vs Eibar?

On the result, our pick is Castellón to win (1.67); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.60). Prefer less risk? Go for Castellón or draw (1X).

Who will win Castellón vs Eibar?

As we see it: Castellón to win 58%, the draw 23%, Eibar to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

6 November 2026, 19:30, at Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana.

Who will be missing?

Castellón: no absences. Eibar: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.65), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.39).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.65).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Oviedo vs Las Palmas 2 NovValladolid vs Leganés 2 NovMallorca vs Cádiz 2 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.