Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AD Ceuta FC entertain Sporting Gijón on 1 November 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta), with Ojaos Valera, Alejandro the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.42 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.35 | 3.36 | 2.88 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.90 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.89 | 50.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.21 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.07 | 44.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sporting Gijón, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points), Sporting Gijón 5th (22 points).
- Form in the competition: AD Ceuta FC 1W 2D 8L (10:25), Sporting Gijón 6W 1D 4L (11:13).
- H2H: 3 matches: AD Ceuta FC 1W 0D 2L, goals 2–4.
- Absences: AD Ceuta FC 0, Sporting Gijón 0.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: injuries, suspensions, absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
Sporting Gijón
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
AD Ceuta FC
Home and away
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AD Ceuta FC: 22nd, 5 points from 12 matches (1W 2D 9L). Sporting Gijón: 5th, 22 points (7W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AD Ceuta FC 0.9 scored and 2.3 conceded, Sporting Gijón 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AD Ceuta FC: 1W 2D 8L, goals 10–25; Sporting Gijón: 6W 1D 4L, goals 11–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: AD Ceuta FC 1 win, Sporting Gijón 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 2–4.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Sporting Gijón look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 3; AD Ceuta FC 1 win, 0 draws, Sporting Gijón 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: AD Ceuta FC 10–25, Sporting Gijón 11–13.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: AD Ceuta FC 0, Sporting Gijón 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Not available for Sporting Gijón: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AD Ceuta FCLLLLDSporting GijónWLWWWAD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: head to head
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AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón?
On the result, our pick is AD Ceuta FC or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for AD Ceuta FC or draw (1X).
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijón?
As we see it: AD Ceuta FC to win 40%, the draw 28%, Sporting Gijón to win 32%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 15:15, at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta. Referee: Ojaos Valera, Alejandro.
Who will be missing?
AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Sporting Gijón: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.99), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (9.9%), 0–1 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.