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Segunda División · Matchweek 12 · 2 November 2026 · 20:00

Mallorca vs Cádiz tip, odds and prediction, 2 November 2026, Segunda División

VS
WLLWD
1Mallorca1.48
XDraw4.48
2Cádiz7.29

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:54

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Mallorca and Cádiz meet on 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Parma), under referee Gonzalo Romero Freixas. Mallorca (65%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Mallorca vs Cádiz: tip and prediction
Result
Mallorca to win
1.48
Goals
At least one team fails to score
1.80
Combo
Mallorca & over 2.5 goals
2.51
40% · fair combo odds
65%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Mallorca or draw (1X) – probability 86%, odds up to 1.11.

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Mallorca vs Cádiz: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.484.487.29
Market average1.474.376.85
Lowest odds1.444.306.50
Megapari1.474.386.85
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2574.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.951.8551.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.041.9748.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0630.7%
BTTS – yes2.001.9447.6%
BTTS – no1.801.7752.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:54. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Mallorca 1–0 Cádiz, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Mallorca 8th (19 points), Cádiz 19th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Mallorca 5W 4D 2L (13:6), Cádiz 2W 4D 5L (14:14).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Mallorca 3W 6D 1L, goals 9–8.
  • Absences: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.

Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?

Mallorca65%
Draw22%
Cádiz14%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Mallorca vs Cádiz: more betting markets

Mallorca or draw (1X)86.2% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.8% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.3% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.38
Likely
Mallorca to win64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
Likely
Both teams score: no52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.5% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.95
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.5% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.04
Outsider
Both teams score: yes47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.7% · fair odds 3.26 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw21.7% · fair odds 4.62 · best 4.48
Outsider
Cádiz to win13.8% · fair odds 7.22 · best 7.29
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.7%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.65 · Under 2.15
probability of over 56.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 012.5%
2 : 012.2%
1 : 110.0%
2 : 19.7%
3 : 07.9%
0 : 06.4%

Mallorca vs Cádiz: injuries, suspensions, absences

Mallorca

  • No reported absences

Cádiz

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Mallorca vs Cádiz: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
6Girona126-3-322:1121
7Burgos126-3-317:1321
8Mallorca115-4-213:619
9Oviedo115-3-315:1218
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Córdoba125-1-619:2216
12Tenerife113-5-313:1514
13Eldense124-2-613:1714
14Las Palmas114-2-514:1914
15Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
16Valladolid113-3-516:1612
17Leganés113-3-57:1612
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz112-4-514:1410
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Mallorca

24 OctDLeganés 1–1 Mallorca
17 OctDEibar 1–1 Mallorca
11 OctWMallorca 3–1 Las Palmas
4 OctDGirona 0–0 Mallorca
27 SeptLMallorca 0–1 Almería

Cádiz

25 OctWCádiz 3–1 AD Ceuta FC
18 OctLGranada CF 2–0 Cádiz
11 OctLCádiz 0–1 Sporting Gijón
3 OctWCádiz 4–0 Leganés
26 SeptDTenerife 1–1 Cádiz

Home and away

Mallorca at home5 matches: 4W 0D 1L, goals 10–2
Cádiz away4 matches: 0W 2D 2L, goals 5–8

Mallorca vs Cádiz: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Mallorca: 8th, 19 points from 11 matches (5W 4D 2L). Cádiz: 19th, 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Mallorca 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded, Cádiz 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Mallorca: 5W 4D 2L, goals 13–6; Cádiz: 2W 4D 5L, goals 14–14.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Mallorca 3 wins, Cádiz 1 win, plus 6 draws; goals 9–8.

What to expect

We make Mallorca the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like At least one team fails to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 48% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 10; Mallorca 3 wins, 6 draws, Cádiz 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 1.7 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Mallorca 13–6, Cádiz 14–14.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
  5. Not available: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 52%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Mallorca: no absences. Not available for Cádiz: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Mallorca vs Cádiz: the numbers side by side

MallorcaCádiz
46%Form54%
38%Attack62%
56%Defence44%
62%Head to head38%
50%Goals50%
56.3%Overall43.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

MallorcaDDWDL
CádizWLLWD

Mallorca vs Cádiz: head to head

All matches
3Mallorca
6Draws
1Cádiz
28/4/24 · Cádiz 1–1 Mallorca
29/11/23 · Mallorca 1–1 Cádiz
12/5/23 · Mallorca 1–0 Cádiz
28/1/23 · Cádiz 2–0 Mallorca
5/2/22 · Mallorca 2–1 Cádiz
31/10/21 · Cádiz 1–1 Mallorca

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Mallorca vs Cádiz: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Mallorca vs Cádiz?

On the result, our pick is Mallorca to win (1.48); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Mallorca or draw (1X).

Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?

As we see it: Mallorca to win 65%, the draw 22%, Cádiz to win 14%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

2 November 2026, 20:00, at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma. Referee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas.

Who will be missing?

Mallorca: no absences. Cádiz: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.95), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 2.04).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 48% (odds 2.00).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (12.5%), 2–0 (12.2%), 1–1 (10.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Oviedo vs Las Palmas 2 NovValladolid vs Leganés 2 NovCastellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.