Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Granada CF entertain Valladolid on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada), with M. H. De Aza the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.26 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.23 | 3.39 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.01 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.85 | 3.52 | 26.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Granada CF 1–1 Valladolid, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Granada CF 4th (23 points), Valladolid 16th (12 points).
- H2H: 14 matches: Granada CF 7W 2D 5L, goals 22–17.
- Absences: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Granada CF vs Valladolid: injuries, suspensions, absences
Granada CF
- No reported absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 | Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Granada CF
Home and away
Granada CF vs Valladolid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Granada CF: 4th, 23 points from 12 matches (7W 2D 3L). Valladolid: 16th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Granada CF 7 wins, Valladolid 5 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 22–17.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.6%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 47%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 14; Granada CF 7 wins, 2 draws, Valladolid 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Not available: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Granada CF: no absences. Not available for Valladolid: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: head to head
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Granada CF vs Valladolid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Granada CF vs Valladolid?
On the result, our pick is Granada CF or draw (1X) (1.34); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.86). Prefer less risk? Go for Granada CF or draw (1X).
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
As we see it: Granada CF to win 43%, the draw 29%, Valladolid to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
23 October 2026, 19:30, at Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada. Referee: M. H. De Aza.
Who will be missing?
Granada CF: no absences. Valladolid: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.13), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.86).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.6%), 1–0 (11.5%), 0–1 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.