Burgos entertain Celta de Vigo II on 7 November 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío (Burgos). Burgos (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.75 | 3.94 | 4.80 |
| Market average | 1.72 | 3.71 | 4.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Megapari | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.74 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.90 | 50.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.39 | 3.24 | 29.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burgos 1–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Burgos 7th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 15th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Burgos 6W 3D 3L (17:13), Celta de Vigo II 3W 4D 5L (18:23).
- H2H: 2 matches: Burgos 1W 1D 0L, goals 2–1.
- Absences: Burgos 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: injuries, suspensions, absences
Burgos
- No reported absences
Celta de Vigo II
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burgos
Home and away
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Burgos: 7th, 21 points from 12 matches (6W 3D 3L). Celta de Vigo II: 15th, 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Burgos 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded, Celta de Vigo II 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Burgos: 6W 3D 3L, goals 17–13; Celta de Vigo II: 3W 4D 5L, goals 18–23.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Burgos 1 win, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 2–1.
What to expect
We make Burgos the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.85), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Burgos 1 win, 1 draw, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Burgos 17–13, Celta de Vigo II 18–23.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: Burgos 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Burgos: no absences. Not available for Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
On the result, our pick is Burgos to win (1.75); on goals, Both teams to score (1.85). Prefer less risk? Go for Burgos or draw (1X).
Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
As we see it: Burgos to win 55%, the draw 25%, Celta de Vigo II to win 20%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 13:00, at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos.
Who will be missing?
Burgos: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.85).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.0%), 1–1 (11.4%), 2–0 (10.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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