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Segunda División · Matchweek 13 · 7 November 2026 · 13:00

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Segunda División

1Burgos1.75
XDraw3.94
2Celta de Vigo II4.80

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 12:53

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Burgos entertain Celta de Vigo II on 7 November 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío (Burgos). Burgos (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: tip and prediction
Result
Burgos to win
1.75
Goals
Both teams to score
1.85
Combo
Burgos & over 2.5 goals
3.05
33% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
51%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Burgos or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.21.

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Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.753.944.80
Market average1.723.714.64
Lowest odds1.673.504.33
Megapari1.703.904.74
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.321.2873.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.951.9050.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.9050.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.393.2429.1%
BTTS – yes1.851.8151.3%
BTTS – no1.931.9048.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Burgos 1–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Burgos 7th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 15th (13 points).
  • Form in the competition: Burgos 6W 3D 3L (17:13), Celta de Vigo II 3W 4D 5L (18:23).
  • H2H: 2 matches: Burgos 1W 1D 0L, goals 2–1.
  • Absences: Burgos 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.

Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?

Burgos55%
Draw25%
Celta de Vigo II20%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: more betting markets

Burgos or draw (1X)79.8% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.32
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Burgos to win54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.95
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.96
Outsider
Both teams score: no48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.93
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.1% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.39
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.96 · best 3.94
Outsider
Celta de Vigo II to win20.2% · fair odds 4.95 · best 4.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 012.0%
1 : 111.4%
2 : 010.2%
2 : 19.7%
0 : 07.1%
0 : 16.7%

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: injuries, suspensions, absences

Burgos

  • No reported absences

Celta de Vigo II

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
6Girona126-3-322:1121
7Burgos126-3-317:1321
8Mallorca115-4-213:619
9Oviedo115-3-315:1218
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Córdoba125-1-619:2216
12Tenerife113-5-313:1514
13Eldense124-2-613:1714
14Las Palmas114-2-514:1914
15Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
16Valladolid113-3-516:1612
17Leganés113-3-57:1612
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz112-4-514:1410
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Burgos

1 NovDBurgos 1–1 Castellón
26 OctWFC Andorra 2–3 Burgos
18 OctWBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
12 OctLBurgos 0–1 Granada CF
3 OctLAlmería 2–1 Burgos

Celta de Vigo II

31 OctDCelta de Vigo II 2–2 Córdoba
24 OctLGirona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II
19 OctDCelta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
10 OctWCelta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II
4 OctLSporting Gijón 3–2 Celta de Vigo II

Home and away

Burgos at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 11–7
Celta de Vigo II away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–10

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Burgos: 7th, 21 points from 12 matches (6W 3D 3L). Celta de Vigo II: 15th, 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Burgos 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded, Celta de Vigo II 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Burgos: 6W 3D 3L, goals 17–13; Celta de Vigo II: 3W 4D 5L, goals 18–23.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Burgos 1 win, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 2–1.

What to expect

We make Burgos the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.85), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 2; Burgos 1 win, 1 draw, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 1.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Burgos 17–13, Celta de Vigo II 18–23.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
  5. Not available: Burgos 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Burgos: no absences. Not available for Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: the numbers side by side

BurgosCelta de Vigo II
58%Form42%
38%Attack63%
67%Defence33%
80%Head to head20%
67%Goals33%
63.3%Overall36.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

BurgosDWWLL
Celta de Vigo IIDLDWL

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: head to head

All matches
1Burgos
1Draws
0Celta de Vigo II
9/5/21 · Burgos 1–0 Celta de Vigo II
18/4/21 · Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Burgos

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?

On the result, our pick is Burgos to win (1.75); on goals, Both teams to score (1.85). Prefer less risk? Go for Burgos or draw (1X).

Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?

As we see it: Burgos to win 55%, the draw 25%, Celta de Vigo II to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 13:00, at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos.

Who will be missing?

Burgos: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.85).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (12.0%), 1–1 (11.4%), 2–0 (10.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.