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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Sparta Praha5.80
XDraw4.62
2Bournemouth1.56

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:28

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Sparta Praha entertain Bournemouth on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at epet ARENA (Prague). Bournemouth (61%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: tip and prediction
Result
Bournemouth to win
1.56
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.56
Combo
Bournemouth & over 2.5 goals
2.38
42% · fair combo odds
61%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Bournemouth (X2) – probability 83%, odds up to 1.16.

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Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.804.621.56
Market average5.414.311.53
Lowest odds4.523.761.50
Megapari5.734.621.56
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1780.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5959.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3440.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.522.4438.5%
BTTS – yes1.701.6656.3%
BTTS – no2.202.1443.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

Bet with Megapari →

Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sparta Praha 1–2 Bournemouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sparta Praha 16th (4 points), Bournemouth 3rd (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 1W 1D 1L (5:3), Bournemouth 3W 0D 0L (8:1).
  • Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Bournemouth 0.

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?

Sparta Praha17%
Draw22%
Bournemouth61%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: more betting markets

Draw or Bournemouth (X2)82.7% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 1.5 goals80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.56
Likely
Bournemouth to win61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.56
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.62
Possible
Both teams score: yes56.3% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: no43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.20
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.52
Outsider
Draw21.7% · fair odds 4.61 · best 4.62
Outsider
Sparta Praha to win17.3% · fair odds 5.77 · best 5.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.74 · Under 1.97
probability of over 53.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 210.0%
0 : 210.0%
1 : 19.7%
0 : 19.7%
1 : 36.8%
0 : 36.8%

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: injuries, suspensions, absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Bournemouth

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Bournemouth

31 OctWBournemouth 2–0 Leeds
25 OctWManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
22 OctWBournemouth 3–0 AC Milan
18 OctWBournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
15 OctWBournemouth 3–0 Sturm Graz

Home and away

Sparta Praha at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1
Bournemouth away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Sparta Praha: 16th, 4 points from 3 matches (1W 1D 1L). Bournemouth: 3rd, 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sparta Praha 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded, Bournemouth 2.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 1W 1D 1L, goals 5–3; Bournemouth: 3W 0D 0L, goals 8–1.

What to expect

We make Bournemouth the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (10.0%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Sparta Praha 5–3, Bournemouth 8–1.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
  3. Not available: Sparta Praha 0, Bournemouth 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Sparta Praha: no absences. Not available for Bournemouth: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: the numbers side by side

Sparta PrahaBournemouth
31%Form69%
38%Attack62%
25%Defence75%
30.5%Overall69.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Sparta PrahaLDW
BournemouthWWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?

On the result, our pick is Bournemouth to win (1.56); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.56). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bournemouth (X2).

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?

As we see it: Sparta Praha to win 17%, the draw 22%, Bournemouth to win 61%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 17:45, at epet ARENA, Prague.

Who will be missing?

Sparta Praha: no absences. Bournemouth: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.62), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (10.0%), 0–2 (10.0%), 1–1 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.