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Chance Liga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 14:00

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Chance Liga

5–1
1Sparta Praha1.29
XDraw6.21
2Slovácko10.50

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 13:15

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Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sparta Praha v Slovácko takes place on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadion Letná (Prague); Antonín Bohata will referee. We back Sparta Praha (74%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: tip and prediction
Result
Sparta Praha to win
1.29
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.53
Combo
Sparta Praha & over 2.5 goals
1.86
54% · fair combo odds
74%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sparta Praha or draw (1X) – probability 90%, odds up to 1.07. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.296.2110.50
Market average1.265.669.60
Lowest odds1.225.009.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1282.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.531.4663.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.662.5836.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.272.1942.8%
BTTS – yes2.001.8450.6%
BTTS – no1.951.8849.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sparta Praha 2–0 Slovácko, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sparta Praha 4th (23 points), Slovácko 15th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 6W 1D 4L (20:12), Slovácko 1W 4D 6L (10:18).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Sparta Praha 12W 4D 5L, goals 43–24.
  • Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Sparta Praha74%
Draw16%
Slovácko10%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: more betting markets

Sparta Praha or draw (1X)90.3% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Sparta Praha to win73.8% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.9% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 2.00
Possible
Both teams score: no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.27
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.1% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.66
Outsider
Draw16.5% · fair odds 6.07 · best 6.21
Outsider
Slovácko to win9.7% · fair odds 10.30 · best 10.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.9%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.5%
3 : 09.6%
1 : 09.2%
2 : 19.2%
3 : 17.7%
1 : 17.4%

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: injuries, suspensions, absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Slovácko

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Slovácko

31 OctLSlovácko 1–3 Teplice
25 OctLSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
18 OctLSlovácko 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
11 OctWSlovan Liberec 0–2 Slovácko
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava

Home and away

Sparta Praha at home6 matches: 5W 0D 1L, goals 16–6
Slovácko away7 matches: 1W 1D 5L, goals 6–16

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Sparta Praha: 4th, 23 points from 13 matches (7W 2D 4L). Slovácko: 15th, 7 points (1W 4D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sparta Praha 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded, Slovácko 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–12; Slovácko: 1W 4D 6L, goals 10–18.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Sparta Praha 12 wins, Slovácko 5 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 43–24.

What to expect

We make Sparta Praha the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.29, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 21; Sparta Praha 12 wins, 4 draws, Slovácko 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Sparta Praha 20–12, Slovácko 10–18.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
  5. Not available: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Sparta Praha: no absences. Not available for Slovácko: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: the numbers side by side

Sparta PrahaSlovácko
67%Form33%
62%Attack38%
75%Defence25%
85%Head to head15%
68%Goals32%
73.0%Overall27.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Sparta PrahaDWDWW
SlováckoLLLWD

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: head to head

All matches
12Sparta Praha
4Draws
5Slovácko
25/10/26 · Sparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
15/3/26 · Sparta Praha 5–2 Slovácko
19/10/25 · Slovácko 0–0 Sparta Praha
2/2/25 · Slovácko 0–2 Sparta Praha
24/8/24 · Sparta Praha 2–2 Slovácko
5/5/24 · Slovácko 2–4 Sparta Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

On the result, our pick is Sparta Praha to win (1.29); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Sparta Praha or draw (1X).

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

As we see it: Sparta Praha to win 74%, the draw 16%, Slovácko to win 10%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 14:00, at Stadion Letná, Prague. Referee: Antonín Bohata.

Who will be missing?

Sparta Praha: no absences. Slovácko: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.53), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.66).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 2.00).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (11.5%), 3–0 (9.6%), 1–0 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.