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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 18 October 2026 · 14:00

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Chance Liga

1Baník Ostrava4.82
XDraw4.37
2Sparta Praha1.65

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Baník Ostrava and Sparta Praha meet on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích (Ostrava), under referee Dalibor Černý. Sparta Praha (57%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: tip and prediction
Result
Sparta Praha to win
1.65
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
Combo
Sparta Praha & over 2.5 goals
2.57
39% · fair combo odds
57%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Sparta Praha (X2) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.20.

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Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.824.371.65
Market average4.594.061.63
Lowest odds4.403.901.62
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1679.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5859.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.2940.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.552.4238.1%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.3%
BTTS – no2.252.2241.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points), Sparta Praha 4th (23 points).
  • Absences: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?

Baník Ostrava20%
Draw23%
Sparta Praha57%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: more betting markets

Draw or Sparta Praha (X2)79.8% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.8% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.18
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.52
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.2% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.60
Possible
Both teams score: yes58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
Possible
Sparta Praha to win56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.65
Possible
Both teams score: no41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.38
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw22.8% · fair odds 4.38 · best 4.37
Outsider
Baník Ostrava to win20.2% · fair odds 4.94 · best 4.82
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.95 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.2%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 19.2%
0 : 29.0%
1 : 36.4%
0 : 35.9%

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: injuries, suspensions, absences

Baník Ostrava

  • No reported absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Baník Ostrava

1 NovLBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
10 OctLBohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava
13 SeptLBaník Ostrava 1–2 Pardubice

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Home and away

Baník Ostrava at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 3–10
Sparta Praha away7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 9–7

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Baník Ostrava: 13th, 11 points from 12 matches (3W 2D 7L). Sparta Praha: 4th, 23 points (7W 2D 4L).

What to expect

We make Sparta Praha the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Not available: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Baník Ostrava: no absences. Not available for Sparta Praha: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?

On the result, our pick is Sparta Praha to win (1.65); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Sparta Praha (X2).

Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?

As we see it: Baník Ostrava to win 20%, the draw 23%, Sparta Praha to win 57%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 14:00, at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích, Ostrava. Referee: Dalibor Černý.

Who will be missing?

Baník Ostrava: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.60), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (9.9%), 0–1 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.