Bet with MINO CASINO →SC Freiburg and Union Berlin meet on 8 November 2026 · 16:30 at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg). SC Freiburg (63%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.56 | 4.72 | 6.11 |
| Market average | 1.50 | 4.43 | 5.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.08 | 5.32 |
| Megapari | 1.56 | 4.73 | 6.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.59 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.31 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.48 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.72 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SC Freiburg 2–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points), Union Berlin 16th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: SC Freiburg 5W 1D 2L (18:10), Union Berlin 1W 4D 3L (7:19).
- H2H: 17 matches: SC Freiburg 3W 5D 9L, goals 18–24.
- Absences: SC Freiburg 0, Union Berlin 0.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: injuries, suspensions, absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
SC Freiburg
Home and away
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. SC Freiburg: 3rd, 16 points from 8 matches (5W 1D 2L). Union Berlin: 16th, 7 points (1W 4D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: SC Freiburg 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded, Union Berlin 0.9 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SC Freiburg: 5W 1D 2L, goals 18–10; Union Berlin: 1W 4D 3L, goals 7–19.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: SC Freiburg 3 wins, Union Berlin 9 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 18–24.
What to expect
We make SC Freiburg the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; SC Freiburg 3 wins, 5 draws, Union Berlin 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: SC Freiburg 18–10, Union Berlin 7–19.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: SC Freiburg 0, Union Berlin 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.66). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for SC Freiburg: no absences. Not available for Union Berlin: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SC FreiburgWLLWDUnion BerlinDDDWLSC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: head to head
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SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
On the result, our pick is SC Freiburg to win (1.56); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for SC Freiburg or draw (1X).
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
As we see it: SC Freiburg to win 63%, the draw 21%, Union Berlin to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 16:30, at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg.
Who will be missing?
SC Freiburg: no absences. Union Berlin: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.66), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.72).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.