Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln takes place on 1 November 2026 · 14:30 at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin); Richard Hempel will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.84 | 3.78 | 2.61 |
| Market average | 2.68 | 3.51 | 2.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.54 | 3.32 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.72 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.14 | 44.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.73 | 34.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 13:44. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union Berlin 1–1 1. FC Köln, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Union Berlin 16th (7 points), 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Union Berlin 1W 3D 3L (6:18), 1. FC Köln 2W 2D 3L (8:11).
- H2H: 21 matches: Union Berlin 10W 4D 7L, goals 27–29.
- Absences: Union Berlin 5, 1. FC Köln 6.
Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: injuries, suspensions, absences
Union Berlin
- A. Ilicillness · will miss the match
- A. Markgrafknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Nsokimuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Skovinjury · will miss the match
- F. Uduokhaired card · will miss the match
1. FC Köln
- R. Achethigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Dallingaknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Hubersknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Rondicinjury · will miss the match
- E. Skhiriankle injury · will miss the match
- R. van den Bergmuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Berlin
Home and away
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Union Berlin: 16th, 7 points from 8 matches (1W 4D 3L). 1. FC Köln: 13th, 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Union Berlin 0.9 scored and 2.6 conceded, 1. FC Köln 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Union Berlin: 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–18; 1. FC Köln: 2W 2D 3L, goals 8–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Union Berlin 10 wins, 1. FC Köln 7 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 27–29.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; Union Berlin 10 wins, 4 draws, 1. FC Köln 7 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Union Berlin 6–18, 1. FC Köln 8–11.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: Union Berlin 5, 1. FC Köln 6.
Alternative tip: Draw or 1. FC Köln (X2)
Other option: Draw or 1. FC Köln (X2) (probability 65%, odds up to 1.52). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, R. Skov, F. Uduokhai. Not available for 1. FC Köln: R. Ache, T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, I. Rondic, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Union BerlinDDDWL1. FC KölnDDLWLUnion Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: head to head
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Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
On the result, our pick is Draw or 1. FC Köln (X2) (1.52); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or 1. FC Köln (X2).
Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
As we see it: Union Berlin to win 35%, the draw 27%, 1. FC Köln to win 37%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 14:30, at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Referee: Richard Hempel.
Who will be missing?
Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, R. Skov, F. Uduokhai. 1. FC Köln: R. Ache, T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, I. Rondic, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.77), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.60).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.7%), 1–2 (8.5%), 0–1 (8.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.