Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund meet on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin), under referee Daniel Schlager, Germany. Borussia Dortmund (61%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.79 | 4.72 | 1.60 |
| Market average | 5.51 | 4.47 | 1.56 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.51 | 1.47 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.55 | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union Berlin 1–2 Borussia Dortmund, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Berlin 16th (7 points), Borussia Dortmund 2nd (18 points).
- Absences: Union Berlin 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: injuries, suspensions, absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
Borussia Dortmund
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Berlin
Home and away
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Union Berlin: 16th, 7 points from 8 matches (1W 4D 3L). Borussia Dortmund: 2nd, 18 points (5W 3D 0L).
What to expect
We make Borussia Dortmund the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: Union Berlin 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Union Berlin: no absences. Not available for Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
On the result, our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win (1.60); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.51). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Borussia Dortmund (X2).
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
As we see it: Union Berlin to win 17%, the draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund to win 61%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 14:30, at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Union Berlin: no absences. Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.51), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.2%), 0–2 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.