Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Augsburg entertain Union Berlin on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg), with Robin Braun the man in the middle. FC Augsburg (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.81 | 4.41 | 4.50 |
| Market average | 1.75 | 4.17 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.69 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), Union Berlin 16th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 2D 2L (16:12), Union Berlin 1W 2D 3L (5:17).
- H2H: 17 matches: FC Augsburg 6W 6D 5L, goals 19–18.
- Absences: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Augsburg
- N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match
- A. Claude-Mauricemuscle injury · doubtful
Union Berlin
- A. Ilicillness · will miss the match
- A. Markgrafknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Nsokimuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Imeriinjury · doubtful
- J. JuranovicAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Augsburg: 10th, 9 points from 8 matches (2W 3D 3L). Union Berlin: 16th, 7 points (1W 4D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FC Augsburg 2.7 scored and 2.0 conceded, Union Berlin 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 2D 2L, goals 16–12; Union Berlin: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: FC Augsburg 6 wins, Union Berlin 5 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 19–18.
What to expect
We make FC Augsburg the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; FC Augsburg 6 wins, 6 draws, Union Berlin 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: FC Augsburg 16–12, Union Berlin 5–17.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, odds up to 1.78). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Augsburg: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Not available for Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FC AugsburgLDLDLUnion BerlinDDDWLFC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
On the result, our pick is FC Augsburg to win (1.81); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Augsburg or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
As we see it: FC Augsburg to win 55%, the draw 23%, Union Berlin to win 23%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:30, at WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: Robin Braun.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.50), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.79).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.47).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.6%), 1–1 (9.3%), 2–0 (7.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.