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Serie A · Matchweek 12 · 21 November 2026 · 17:00

Parma vs AS Roma tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Serie A

DLLLW
VS
WWDWD
1Parma9.95
XDraw5.71
2AS Roma1.35

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:26

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Parma entertain AS Roma on 21 November 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). AS Roma (72%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Parma vs AS Roma: tip and prediction
Result
AS Roma to win
1.35
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.55
Combo
AS Roma & over 2.5 goals
2.05
49% · fair combo odds
72%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or AS Roma (X2) – probability 90%, odds up to 1.09.

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Parma vs AS Roma: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available9.955.711.35
Market average9.145.291.32
Lowest odds8.505.001.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1879.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6358.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.402.3441.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.552.5137.8%
BTTS – yes2.001.9647.6%
BTTS – no1.801.7852.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Parma 0–2 AS Roma, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Parma 18th (5 points), AS Roma 3rd (24 points).
  • Absences: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.

Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?

Parma10%
Draw18%
AS Roma72%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Parma vs AS Roma: more betting markets

Draw or AS Roma (X2)89.6% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.3% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
AS Roma to win71.7% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: no52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: yes47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.8% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw17.9% · fair odds 5.58 · best 5.71
Outsider
Parma to win10.4% · fair odds 9.62 · best 9.95
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 212.5%
0 : 110.9%
0 : 39.6%
1 : 29.4%
1 : 18.2%
1 : 37.2%

Parma vs AS Roma: injuries, suspensions, absences

Parma

  • No reported absences

AS Roma

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Parma vs AS Roma: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Parma

28 OctDParma 0–0 Udinese
24 OctLLazio 2–1 Parma
19 OctLParma 0–3 Torino
10 OctLInter 3–0 Parma
20 SeptWParma 2–1 Genoa

AS Roma

31 OctWUdinese 2–5 AS Roma
27 OctWAS Roma 4–2 Cagliari
24 OctDNapoli 3–3 AS Roma
20 OctWAS Roma 4–0 Slovan Bratislava
17 OctWAS Roma 2–0 Genoa

Home and away

Parma at home5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 3–6
AS Roma away5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 14–5

Parma vs AS Roma: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Parma: 18th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L). AS Roma: 3rd, 24 points (7W 3D 0L).

What to expect

We make AS Roma the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (12.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 48% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Not available: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Parma: no absences. Not available for AS Roma: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.6%

Parma vs AS Roma: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Parma vs AS Roma?

On the result, our pick is AS Roma to win (1.35); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or AS Roma (X2).

Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?

As we see it: Parma to win 10%, the draw 18%, AS Roma to win 72%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 17:00, at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.

Who will be missing?

Parma: no absences. AS Roma: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.67), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.40).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 48% (odds 2.00).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–2 (12.5%), 0–1 (10.9%), 0–3 (9.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.