Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AS Roma and Cagliari meet on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), under referee Ermanno Feliciani. AS Roma (73%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.33 | 5.51 | 12.10 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.27 | 10.47 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 4.94 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.23 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.75 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.10 | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.86 | 32.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.25 | 2.21 | 42.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AS Roma 2–0 Cagliari, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AS Roma 3rd (24 points), Cagliari 12th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: AS Roma 5W 3D 0L (19:6), Cagliari 4W 1D 3L (6:9).
- H2H: 29 matches: AS Roma 18W 5D 6L, goals 57–35.
- Absences: AS Roma 5, Cagliari 3.
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AS Roma vs Cagliari: injuries, suspensions, absences
AS Roma
- M. Bahknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Konemuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Pellegrinithigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Svilarabsence · will miss the match
- P. Dybalacalf injury · doubtful
Cagliari
- M. Feliciknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Idrissiknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Winksback injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AS Roma
Home and away
AS Roma vs Cagliari: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AS Roma: 3rd, 24 points from 10 matches (7W 3D 0L). Cagliari: 12th, 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AS Roma 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, Cagliari 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AS Roma: 5W 3D 0L, goals 19–6; Cagliari: 4W 1D 3L, goals 6–9.
- Head to head. Head to head over 29 meetings: AS Roma 18 wins, Cagliari 6 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 57–35.
What to expect
We make AS Roma the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (14.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 67% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 42% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 29; AS Roma 18 wins, 5 draws, Cagliari 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: AS Roma 19–6, Cagliari 6–9.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Not available: AS Roma 5, Cagliari 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AS Roma: M. Bah, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, M. Svilar, P. Dybala. Not available for Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, H. Winks. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AS RomaWWDWDCagliariLLLLDAS Roma vs Cagliari: head to head
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AS Roma vs Cagliari: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
On the result, our pick is AS Roma to win (1.33); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for AS Roma or draw (1X).
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
As we see it: AS Roma to win 73%, the draw 18%, Cagliari to win 9%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Ermanno Feliciani.
Who will be missing?
AS Roma: M. Bah, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, M. Svilar, P. Dybala. Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, H. Winks. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.82), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 42% (odds 2.25).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (14.0%), 1–0 (12.7%), 3–0 (10.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.