Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Napoli v AS Roma takes place on 24 October 2026 · 17:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples); Andrea Colombo, Italy will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Napoli vs AS Roma: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Market average | 2.68 | 3.34 | 2.68 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.84 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 47.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.11 | 3.01 | 31.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.20 | 42.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:13. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Napoli 1–1 AS Roma, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Napoli 8th (14 points), AS Roma 3rd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Napoli 3W 1D 3L (10:7), AS Roma 5W 2D 0L (16:3).
- H2H: 33 matches: Napoli 15W 9D 9L, goals 49–37.
- Absences: Napoli 4, AS Roma 5.
Who will win Napoli vs AS Roma?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Napoli vs AS Roma: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Napoli vs AS Roma: injuries, suspensions, absences
Napoli
- Alisson Santosmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Buongiornoknee injury · will miss the match
- David Neresthigh injury · will miss the match
- C. Favasulithigh injury · will miss the match
AS Roma
- M. Bahknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Dybalacalf injury · will miss the match
- M. Konemuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Pellegrinithigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Svilarabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Napoli vs AS Roma: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Napoli
Home and away
Napoli vs AS Roma: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Napoli: 8th, 14 points from 10 matches (4W 2D 4L). AS Roma: 3rd, 24 points (7W 3D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Napoli 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, AS Roma 2.3 scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Napoli: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–7; AS Roma: 5W 2D 0L, goals 16–3.
- Head to head. Head to head over 33 meetings: Napoli 15 wins, AS Roma 9 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 49–37.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.2%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 33; Napoli 15 wins, 9 draws, AS Roma 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Napoli 10–7, AS Roma 16–3.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Napoli 4, AS Roma 5.
Alternative tip: Draw or AS Roma (X2)
Other option: Draw or AS Roma (X2) (probability 64%, odds up to 1.52). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Napoli: Alisson Santos, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli. Not available for AS Roma: M. Bah, P. Dybala, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, M. Svilar. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Napoli vs AS Roma: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
NapoliLWDLWAS RomaWWDWDNapoli vs AS Roma: head to head
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Napoli vs AS Roma: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Napoli vs AS Roma?
On the result, our pick is Draw or AS Roma (X2) (1.52); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or AS Roma (X2).
Who will win Napoli vs AS Roma?
As we see it: Napoli to win 36%, the draw 29%, AS Roma to win 36%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 17:00, at Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: Andrea Colombo, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Napoli: Alisson Santos, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli. AS Roma: M. Bah, P. Dybala, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, M. Svilar. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.93), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.2%), 0–1 (9.1%), 1–0 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.