Bet with MINO CASINO →Napoli and Lazio meet on 8 November 2026 · 11:30 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples). Napoli (46%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Napoli vs Lazio: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.12 | 3.89 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.63 | 3.35 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.09 |
| Megapari | 2.15 | 3.85 | 3.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 76.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.77 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.06 | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.02 | 2.86 | 32.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.64 | 56.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Lazio, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Napoli 8th (14 points), Lazio 1st (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Napoli 4W 2D 4L (17:13), Lazio 9W 1D 0L (24:8).
- H2H: 34 matches: Napoli 19W 5D 10L, goals 66–41.
- Absences: Napoli 1, Lazio 1.
Who will win Napoli vs Lazio?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Napoli vs Lazio: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Napoli vs Lazio: injuries, suspensions, absences
Napoli
- A. Buongiornoabsence · will miss the match
Lazio
- Patricabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Napoli vs Lazio: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Napoli
Home and away
Napoli vs Lazio: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Napoli: 8th, 14 points from 10 matches (4W 2D 4L). Lazio: 1st, 28 points (9W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Napoli 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded, Lazio 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Napoli: 4W 2D 4L, goals 17–13; Lazio: 9W 1D 0L, goals 24–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 34 meetings: Napoli 19 wins, Lazio 10 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 66–41.
What to expect
We make Napoli the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Lazio look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 34; Napoli 19 wins, 5 draws, Lazio 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Napoli 17–13, Lazio 24–8.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Not available: Napoli 1, Lazio 1.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Napoli: A. Buongiorno. Not available for Lazio: Patric. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Napoli vs Lazio: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
NapoliLWDLWLazioWWWWWNapoli vs Lazio: head to head
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Napoli vs Lazio: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Napoli vs Lazio?
On the result, our pick is Napoli to win (2.12); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Napoli or draw (1X).
Who will win Napoli vs Lazio?
As we see it: Napoli to win 46%, the draw 26%, Lazio to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 11:30, at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.
Who will be missing?
Napoli: A. Buongiorno. Lazio: Patric. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.88), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.13).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.7%), 1–0 (9.7%), 2–1 (9.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.