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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 20 October 2026 · 20:00

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

4–3
1Napoli1.83
XDraw4.26
2Bodø/Glimt4.77

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt takes place on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples); José María Sánchez Martínez will referee. We back Napoli (55%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: tip and prediction
Result
Napoli to win
1.83
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Napoli & over 2.5 goals
2.59
39% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Napoli or draw (1X) – probability 79%, odds up to 1.25.

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Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.834.264.77
Market average1.734.074.46
Lowest odds1.703.864.08
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1581.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5461.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4238.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.422.3440.9%
BTTS – yes1.601.5360.9%
BTTS – no2.502.3939.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Bodø/Glimt, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Napoli 22nd (3 points), Bodø/Glimt 28th (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Napoli 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–3.
  • Absences: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.

Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

Napoli55%
Draw23%
Bodø/Glimt21%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals81.0% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Napoli or draw (1X)78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.66
Possible
Napoli to win55.1% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.42
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.50
Outsider
Draw23.5% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.26
Outsider
Bodø/Glimt to win21.4% · fair odds 4.66 · best 4.77
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.8%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.19 · Under 1.64
probability of over 42.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.1%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 08.8%
2 : 08.6%
3 : 16.4%
1 : 25.8%

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: injuries, suspensions, absences

Napoli

  • No reported absences

Bodø/Glimt

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Napoli

1 NovLJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctWMonza 1–4 Napoli
24 OctDNapoli 3–3 AS Roma
20 OctWNapoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt
17 OctLVenezia 1–0 Napoli

Bodø/Glimt

30 OctWBodø/Glimt 3–2 Viking
24 OctLBodø/Glimt 0–1 Vålerenga
20 OctLNapoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt
17 OctWHam-Kam 0–2 Bodø/Glimt
14 OctWBodø/Glimt 1–0 Borussia Dortmund

Home and away

Napoli at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–4
Bodø/Glimt away2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 3–9

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Napoli: 22nd, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Bodø/Glimt: 28th, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Napoli 1 win, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 4–3.

What to expect

We make Napoli the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Napoli 1 win, 0 draws, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 7.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
  4. Not available: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Napoli: no absences. Not available for Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: head to head

All matches
1Napoli
0Draws
0Bodø/Glimt
20/10/26 · Napoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

On the result, our pick is Napoli to win (1.83); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Napoli or draw (1X).

Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

As we see it: Napoli to win 55%, the draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt to win 21%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 20:00, at Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.

Who will be missing?

Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.60).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (8.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP 3 NovGalatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart 3 NovManchester United vs AS Roma 3 NovFeyenoord vs Inter 3 NovBodø/Glimt vs Lille 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.