Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Napoli v Bodø/Glimt takes place on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples); José María Sánchez Martínez will referee. We back Napoli (55%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.83 | 4.26 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 4.07 | 4.46 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.86 | 4.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Bodø/Glimt, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Napoli 22nd (3 points), Bodø/Glimt 28th (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Napoli 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–3.
- Absences: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: injuries, suspensions, absences
Napoli
- No reported absences
Bodø/Glimt
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Napoli
Home and away
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Napoli: 22nd, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Bodø/Glimt: 28th, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Napoli 1 win, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 4–3.
What to expect
We make Napoli the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Napoli 1 win, 0 draws, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 7.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Napoli: no absences. Not available for Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: head to head
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Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
On the result, our pick is Napoli to win (1.83); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Napoli or draw (1X).
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
As we see it: Napoli to win 55%, the draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt to win 21%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 20:00, at Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.
Who will be missing?
Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.60).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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