Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Monza v Cagliari takes place on 19 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stadio Brianteo (Monza); Andrea Calzavara, Italy will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Monza vs Cagliari: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.74 | 3.24 | 3.06 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.14 | 2.91 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.77 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.33 | 70.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.06 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.77 | 53.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.60 | 26.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 1.98 | 47.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 19/10/26, 16:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monza 1–1 Cagliari, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Monza 16th (7 points), Cagliari 12th (13 points).
- Absences: Monza 0, Cagliari 0.
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Monza vs Cagliari: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Monza vs Cagliari: injuries, suspensions, absences
Monza
- No reported absences
Cagliari
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Monza vs Cagliari: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Monza
Home and away
Monza vs Cagliari: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Monza: 16th, 7 points from 10 matches (2W 1D 7L). Cagliari: 12th, 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Cagliari look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Monza 0, Cagliari 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Monza: no absences. Not available for Cagliari: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Monza vs Cagliari: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Monza vs Cagliari?
On the result, our pick is Monza or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Monza or draw (1X).
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
As we see it: Monza to win 38%, the draw 30%, Cagliari to win 32%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
19 October 2026, 17:30, at Stadio Brianteo, Monza. Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Monza: no absences. Cagliari: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.18), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.83).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–0 (10.7%), 0–1 (9.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.