Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cagliari entertain Bologna on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Unipol Domus (Cagliari), with Kevin Bonacina, Italy the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Cagliari vs Bologna: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.05 | 3.05 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.88 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 67.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.28 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.22 | 22.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cagliari 1–1 Bologna, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cagliari 12th (13 points), Bologna 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Cagliari 4W 1D 2L (6:7), Bologna 1W 2D 4L (6:10).
- H2H: 28 matches: Cagliari 7W 7D 14L, goals 24–38.
- Absences: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Cagliari vs Bologna: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cagliari vs Bologna: injuries, suspensions, absences
Cagliari
- M. Feliciknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Idrissiknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Trepyinjury · will miss the match
Bologna
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Orsolinithigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Cagliari vs Bologna: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Cagliari
Home and away
Cagliari vs Bologna: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Cagliari: 12th, 13 points from 10 matches (4W 1D 5L). Bologna: 9th, 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Cagliari 0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded, Bologna 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cagliari: 4W 1D 2L, goals 6–7; Bologna: 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 28 meetings: Cagliari 7 wins, Bologna 14 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 24–38.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.3%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.68), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 42%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 28; Cagliari 7 wins, 7 draws, Bologna 14 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Cagliari 6–7, Bologna 6–10.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 42%.
- Not available: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 50%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Not available for Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Cagliari vs Bologna: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
CagliariLLLLDBolognaWWWLWCagliari vs Bologna: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Cagliari vs Bologna: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Cagliari vs Bologna?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Bologna (X2) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.68). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bologna (X2).
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
As we see it: Cagliari to win 33%, the draw 32%, Bologna to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:00, at Unipol Domus, Cagliari. Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 42% chance (odds 2.39), against 58% for under 2.5 (odds 1.68).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.91).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (13.3%), 0–1 (12.1%), 1–0 (11.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.