Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Torino entertain Monza on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Turin), with Andrea Zanotti, Italy the man in the middle. Torino (45%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Torino vs Monza: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.00 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Torino 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torino 10th (13 points), Monza 16th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Torino 3W 1D 3L (10:9), Monza 2W 1D 4L (13:15).
- H2H: 9 matches: Torino 5W 3D 1L, goals 15–8.
- Absences: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Torino vs Monza: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Torino vs Monza: injuries, suspensions, absences
Torino
- N. Fortinithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Ilkhanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Israelshoulder injury · will miss the match
- R. Rodriguezthigh injury · will miss the match
Monza
- Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Torino vs Monza: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Torino
Home and away
Torino vs Monza: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Torino: 10th, 13 points from 10 matches (4W 1D 5L). Monza: 16th, 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Torino 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded, Monza 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Torino: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–9; Monza: 2W 1D 4L, goals 13–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Torino 5 wins, Monza 1 win, plus 3 draws; goals 15–8.
What to expect
We make Torino the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Torino 5 wins, 3 draws, Monza 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Torino 10–9, Monza 13–15.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Not available for Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Torino vs Monza: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Torino vs Monza: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Torino vs Monza: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Torino vs Monza?
On the result, our pick is Torino to win (2.16); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Torino or draw (1X).
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
As we see it: Torino to win 45%, the draw 28%, Monza to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
23 October 2026, 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.91), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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