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Serie A · Matchweek 8 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Torino vs Monza tip, odds and prediction, 23 October 2026, Serie A

LLWWW
3–2
LLLWL
1Torino2.16
XDraw3.60
2Monza3.68

Top odds available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Torino entertain Monza on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Turin), with Andrea Zanotti, Italy the man in the middle. Torino (45%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Torino vs Monza: tip and prediction
Result
Torino to win
2.16
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
45%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Torino or draw (1X) – probability 73%, odds up to 1.33.

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Torino vs Monza: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.163.603.68
Market average2.123.453.50
Lowest odds2.103.303.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2575.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.911.8451.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.071.9848.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.203.0031.4%
BTTS – yes1.701.6456.9%
BTTS – no2.302.1643.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Torino 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Torino 10th (13 points), Monza 16th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Torino 3W 1D 3L (10:9), Monza 2W 1D 4L (13:15).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Torino 5W 3D 1L, goals 15–8.
  • Absences: Torino 4, Monza 3.

Who will win Torino vs Monza?

Torino45%
Draw28%
Monza27%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Torino vs Monza: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.1% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.28
Likely
Torino or draw (1X)72.7% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.91
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.07
Outsider
Torino to win45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.16
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.1% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.18 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.60
Outsider
Monza to win27.3% · fair odds 3.66 · best 3.68
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.75 · Under 1.99
probability of over 53.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.02 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.0%
1 : 010.4%
2 : 19.3%
2 : 08.1%
0 : 17.7%
1 : 26.9%

Torino vs Monza: injuries, suspensions, absences

Torino

  • N. Fortinithigh injury · will miss the match
  • E. Ilkhanmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • F. Israelshoulder injury · will miss the match
  • R. Rodriguezthigh injury · will miss the match

Monza

  • Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
  • J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Torino vs Monza: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Torino

1 NovLFrosinone 2–0 Torino
27 OctLTorino 1–3 Como
23 OctWTorino 3–2 Monza
19 OctWParma 0–3 Torino
12 OctWTorino 2–1 Udinese

Monza

31 OctLBologna 2–1 Monza
28 OctLMonza 1–4 Napoli
23 OctLTorino 3–2 Monza
19 OctWMonza 4–0 Cagliari
11 OctLLazio 3–1 Monza

Home and away

Torino at home5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 7–10
Monza away6 matches: 0W 1D 5L, goals 8–16

Torino vs Monza: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Torino: 10th, 13 points from 10 matches (4W 1D 5L). Monza: 16th, 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Torino 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded, Monza 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Torino: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–9; Monza: 2W 1D 4L, goals 13–15.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Torino 5 wins, Monza 1 win, plus 3 draws; goals 15–8.

What to expect

We make Torino the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 9; Torino 5 wins, 3 draws, Monza 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Torino 10–9, Monza 13–15.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  5. Not available: Torino 4, Monza 3.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Not available for Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Torino vs Monza: the numbers side by side

TorinoMonza
59%Form41%
44%Attack56%
62%Defence38%
62%Head to head38%
63%Goals38%
57.3%Overall42.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

TorinoLLWWW
MonzaLLLWL

Torino vs Monza: head to head

All matches
5Torino
3Draws
1Monza
23/10/26 · Torino 3–2 Monza
1/9/26 · Torino 0–1 Monza
2/3/25 · Monza 0–2 Torino
24/11/24 · Torino 1–1 Monza
30/3/24 · Torino 1–0 Monza
11/11/23 · Monza 1–1 Torino

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Torino vs Monza: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Torino vs Monza?

On the result, our pick is Torino to win (2.16); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Torino or draw (1X).

Who will win Torino vs Monza?

As we see it: Torino to win 45%, the draw 28%, Monza to win 27%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

23 October 2026, 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy.

Who will be missing?

Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.91), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.07).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.