Bet with MINO CASINO →Monza v Atalanta takes place on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at U-Power Stadium (Monza). We back Atalanta (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Monza vs Atalanta: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.44 | 4.01 | 2.10 |
| Market average | 3.28 | 3.71 | 2.04 |
| Lowest odds | 2.96 | 3.31 | 1.95 |
| Megapari | 3.44 | 4.02 | 2.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.58 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.37 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.40 | 39.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monza 1–1 Atalanta, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monza 16th (7 points), Atalanta 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Monza 2W 1D 7L (17:24), Atalanta 3W 2D 4L (16:17).
- H2H: 6 matches: Monza 0W 0D 6L, goals 3–18.
- Absences: Monza 0, Atalanta 1.
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Monza vs Atalanta: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Monza vs Atalanta: injuries, suspensions, absences
Monza
- No reported absences
Atalanta
- I. Hienabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Monza vs Atalanta: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Monza
Home and away
Monza vs Atalanta: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Monza: 16th, 7 points from 10 matches (2W 1D 7L). Atalanta: 13th, 11 points (3W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Monza 1.7 scored and 2.4 conceded, Atalanta 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Monza: 2W 1D 7L, goals 17–24; Atalanta: 3W 2D 4L, goals 16–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 6 meetings: Monza 0 wins, Atalanta 6 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 3–18.
What to expect
We make Atalanta the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 6; Monza 0 wins, 0 draws, Atalanta 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Monza 17–24, Atalanta 16–17.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Monza 0, Atalanta 1.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Monza: no absences. Not available for Atalanta: I. Hien. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Monza vs Atalanta: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
MonzaLLLWLAtalantaDDLWLMonza vs Atalanta: head to head
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Monza vs Atalanta: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Monza vs Atalanta?
On the result, our pick is Atalanta to win (2.10); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Atalanta (X2).
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
As we see it: Monza to win 29%, the draw 25%, Atalanta to win 46%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 14:00, at U-Power Stadium, Monza.
Who will be missing?
Monza: no absences. Atalanta: I. Hien. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.63), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.48).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.