Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Atalanta entertain Frosinone on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo), with Livio Marinelli the man in the middle. Atalanta (51%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Atalanta vs Frosinone: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.93 | 4.30 | 3.85 |
| Market average | 1.89 | 4.15 | 3.63 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.07 | 87.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.33 | 28.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.82 | 52.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.35 | 1.32 | 70.7% |
| BTTS – no | 3.40 | 3.19 | 29.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:54. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atalanta 2–1 Frosinone, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 13th (11 points), Frosinone 6th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Atalanta 3W 0D 4L (10:11), Frosinone 4W 1D 2L (13:9).
- H2H: 7 matches: Atalanta 4W 2D 1L, goals 21–6.
- Absences: Atalanta 7, Frosinone 1.
Who will win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Atalanta vs Frosinone: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Atalanta vs Frosinone: injuries, suspensions, absences
Atalanta
- I. Hienmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Kessiecalf injury · will miss the match
- S. Kolasinacthigh injury · will miss the match
- O. Kossounouthigh injury · will miss the match
- G. Raspadorithigh injury · will miss the match
- G. Scalvinithigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Sulemanaknee injury · will miss the match
Frosinone
- F. Grillitschthigh injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Atalanta vs Frosinone: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Atalanta
Home and away
Atalanta vs Frosinone: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Atalanta: 13th, 11 points from 9 matches (3W 2D 4L). Frosinone: 6th, 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Atalanta 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, Frosinone 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Atalanta: 3W 0D 4L, goals 10–11; Frosinone: 4W 1D 2L, goals 13–9.
- Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Atalanta 4 wins, Frosinone 1 win, plus 2 draws; goals 21–6.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Frosinone look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.89), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 71% and over 2.5 goals is 72%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 7; Atalanta 4 wins, 2 draws, Frosinone 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Atalanta 10–11, Frosinone 13–9.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 72%.
- Not available: Atalanta 7, Frosinone 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 48%, odds up to 2.06). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Atalanta: I. Hien, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, G. Raspadori, G. Scalvini, K. Sulemana. Not available for Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Frosinone: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AtalantaDDLWLFrosinoneWWDWLAtalanta vs Frosinone: head to head
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Atalanta vs Frosinone: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
On the result, our pick is Atalanta to win (1.93); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.89). Prefer less risk? Go for Atalanta or draw (1X).
Who will win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
As we see it: Atalanta to win 51%, the draw 23%, Frosinone to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:00, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo. Referee: Livio Marinelli.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: I. Hien, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, G. Raspadori, G. Scalvini, K. Sulemana. Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 72% chance (odds 1.34), against 28% for under 2.5 (odds 3.50).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 71% (odds 1.35).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (8.9%), 1–1 (8.2%), 2–2 (6.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.