Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Middlesbrough v Cardiff takes place on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough); Tom Nield, England will referee. We back Middlesbrough (64%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.53 | 5.25 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.87 | 5.52 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.07 | 86.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.32 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.53 | 3.13 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.85 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.61 | 35.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 10:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Middlesbrough 2–1 Cardiff, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Middlesbrough 1st (28 points), Cardiff 17th (14 points).
- Absences: Middlesbrough 0, Cardiff 0.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: injuries, suspensions, absences
Middlesbrough
- No reported absences
Cardiff
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Middlesbrough
Home and away
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Middlesbrough: 1st, 28 points from 13 matches (8W 4D 1L). Cardiff: 17th, 14 points (3W 5D 5L).
What to expect
We make Middlesbrough the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Not available: Middlesbrough 0, Cardiff 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Middlesbrough: no absences. Not available for Cardiff: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
On the result, our pick is Middlesbrough to win (1.53); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Middlesbrough or draw (1X).
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
As we see it: Middlesbrough to win 64%, the draw 19%, Cardiff to win 17%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 12:30, at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. Referee: Tom Nield, England.
Who will be missing?
Middlesbrough: no absences. Cardiff: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.40), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.53).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.4%), 1–1 (7.9%), 2–0 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.