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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 17:45

Como vs Manchester United tip, odds and prediction, 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

1Como2.49
XDraw3.85
2Manchester United2.90

Top odds available · Updated 21/10/26, 16:39

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Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Como and Manchester United meet on 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), under referee Sven Jablonski. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Como vs Manchester United: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Como or draw (1X)
1.48
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
65%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Como vs Manchester United: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.493.852.90
Market average2.423.702.76
Lowest odds2.353.532.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1581.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5461.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.622.4239.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.492.3740.5%
BTTS – yes1.501.4663.9%
BTTS – no2.802.5836.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 16:39. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Como 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Como 9th (6 points), Manchester United 21st (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Como 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1.
  • Absences: Como 0, Manchester United 0.

Who will win Como vs Manchester United?

Como39%
Draw26%
Manchester United35%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Como vs Manchester United: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals81.0% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Como or draw (1X)65.3% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Both teams score: yes63.9% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.5% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.5% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.49
Outsider
Como to win39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.49
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.0% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.62
Outsider
Both teams score: no36.1% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.80
Outsider
Manchester United to win34.7% · fair odds 2.88 · best 2.90
Outsider
Draw25.8% · fair odds 3.87 · best 3.85
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.6%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.04 · Under 1.73
probability of over 45.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.8%
2 : 18.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 07.2%
0 : 16.8%
2 : 26.5%

Como vs Manchester United: injuries, suspensions, absences

Como

  • No reported absences

Manchester United

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Como vs Manchester United: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Como

1 NovWComo 1–0 Venezia
27 OctWTorino 1–3 Como
24 OctWComo 2–0 Sassuolo
21 OctWComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctWFiorentina 1–3 Como

Manchester United

31 OctLChelsea 2–0 Manchester United
25 OctLManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
21 OctLComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctDLeeds 1–1 Manchester United
13 OctLAtlético Madrid 2–0 Manchester United

Home and away

Como at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 8–2
Manchester United away2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–6

Como vs Manchester United: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Como: 9th, 6 points from 3 matches (2W 0D 1L). Manchester United: 21st, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Como 1 win, Manchester United 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 4–1.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Como 1 win, 0 draws, Manchester United 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 5.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
  4. Not available: Como 0, Manchester United 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Como: no absences. Not available for Manchester United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Como vs Manchester United: head to head

All matches
1Como
0Draws
0Manchester United
21/10/26 · Como 4–1 Manchester United

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Como vs Manchester United: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Como vs Manchester United?

On the result, our pick is Como or draw (1X) (1.48); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Como or draw (1X).

Who will win Como vs Manchester United?

As we see it: Como to win 39%, the draw 26%, Manchester United to win 35%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 October 2026, 17:45, at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Sven Jablonski.

Who will be missing?

Como: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.60), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.