Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como and Manchester United meet on 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), under referee Sven Jablonski. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Como vs Manchester United: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.49 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.70 | 2.76 |
| Lowest odds | 2.35 | 3.53 | 2.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.42 | 39.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.37 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.58 | 36.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 16:39. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Como 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Como 9th (6 points), Manchester United 21st (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Como 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1.
- Absences: Como 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Como vs Manchester United: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Como vs Manchester United: injuries, suspensions, absences
Como
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Como vs Manchester United: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Manchester United: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Como: 9th, 6 points from 3 matches (2W 0D 1L). Manchester United: 21st, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Como 1 win, Manchester United 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 4–1.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Como 1 win, 0 draws, Manchester United 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 5.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Como 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Como: no absences. Not available for Manchester United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Como vs Manchester United: head to head
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Como vs Manchester United: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Como vs Manchester United?
On the result, our pick is Como or draw (1X) (1.48); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Como or draw (1X).
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
As we see it: Como to win 39%, the draw 26%, Manchester United to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 October 2026, 17:45, at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Sven Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
Como: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.60), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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