Newcastle and Everton meet on 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at St James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne), under referee John Brooks. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Newcastle vs Everton: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.40 | 3.72 | 3.31 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.53 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.18 | 2.61 |
| Megapari | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.71 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.16 | 44.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.72 | 34.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.56 | 59.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Newcastle 1–1 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Newcastle 12th (11 points), Everton 14th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Newcastle 3W 2D 3L (12:14), Everton 2W 4D 2L (8:9).
- H2H: 32 matches: Newcastle 10W 5D 17L, goals 41–53.
- Absences: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Newcastle vs Everton: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Newcastle vs Everton: injuries, suspensions, absences
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Fernandez-Pardoillness · doubtful
- L. Mileymuscle injury · doubtful
- W. Osulaankle injury · doubtful
Everton
- J. Grealishabsence · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Newcastle vs Everton: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Newcastle
Home and away
Newcastle vs Everton: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Newcastle: 12th, 11 points from 8 matches (3W 2D 3L). Everton: 14th, 10 points (2W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Newcastle 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded, Everton 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Newcastle: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–14; Everton: 2W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: Newcastle 10 wins, Everton 17 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 41–53.
What to expect
We make Newcastle the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 32; Newcastle 10 wins, 5 draws, Everton 17 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Newcastle 12–14, Everton 8–9.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Not available for Everton: J. Grealish. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Newcastle vs Everton: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Newcastle vs Everton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Newcastle vs Everton: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Newcastle vs Everton?
On the result, our pick is Newcastle or draw (1X) (1.39); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Newcastle or draw (1X).
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
As we see it: Newcastle to win 43%, the draw 27%, Everton to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
2 November 2026, 20:00, at St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne. Referee: John Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Everton: J. Grealish. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.77), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 2–1 (9.2%), 1–0 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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