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Premier League · Matchweek 9 · 2 November 2026 · 20:00

Newcastle vs Everton tip, odds and prediction, 2 November 2026, Premier League

VS
LLDWD
1Newcastle2.40
XDraw3.72
2Everton3.31

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:38

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Newcastle and Everton meet on 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at St James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne), under referee John Brooks. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Newcastle vs Everton: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Newcastle or draw (1X)
1.39
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
70%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Newcastle vs Everton: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.403.723.31
Market average2.223.533.12
Lowest odds2.153.182.61
Megapari2.203.703.43
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.2178.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.771.7155.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.222.1644.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.7234.6%
BTTS – yes1.571.5659.5%
BTTS – no2.402.3040.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Newcastle 1–1 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Newcastle 12th (11 points), Everton 14th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Newcastle 3W 2D 3L (12:14), Everton 2W 4D 2L (8:9).
  • H2H: 32 matches: Newcastle 10W 5D 17L, goals 41–53.
  • Absences: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.

Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?

Newcastle43%
Draw27%
Everton30%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Everton: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.0% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.23
Likely
Newcastle or draw (1X)69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.39
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Both teams score: yes59.5% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.57
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.8% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.77
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.22
Outsider
Newcastle to win42.7% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.40
Outsider
Both teams score: no40.5% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.80
Outsider
Everton to win30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.31
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.72
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.2%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.81 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.4%
2 : 19.2%
1 : 08.8%
1 : 27.4%
0 : 17.2%
2 : 07.0%

Newcastle vs Everton: injuries, suspensions, absences

Newcastle

  • E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Fernandez-Pardoillness · doubtful
  • L. Mileymuscle injury · doubtful
  • W. Osulaankle injury · doubtful

Everton

  • J. Grealishabsence · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Newcastle vs Everton: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
8Tottenham93-3-310:1012
9Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
10Hull City92-5-211:1011
11Leeds92-5-29:811
12Newcastle83-2-312:1411
13Ipswich93-2-414:1811
14Everton82-4-28:910
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Newcastle

25 OctWCrystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle
17 OctLNewcastle 0–1 Aston Villa
12 OctLCoventry 4–1 Newcastle
19 SeptWNewcastle 2–1 Hull City
14 SeptLLeeds 4–1 Newcastle

Everton

24 OctLArsenal 2–0 Everton
17 OctLEverton 0–2 Chelsea
11 OctDHull City 2–2 Everton
19 SeptWEverton 1–0 Ipswich
12 SeptDTottenham 0–0 Everton

Home and away

Newcastle at home4 matches: 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–6
Everton away4 matches: 0W 3D 1L, goals 3–5

Newcastle vs Everton: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Newcastle: 12th, 11 points from 8 matches (3W 2D 3L). Everton: 14th, 10 points (2W 4D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Newcastle 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded, Everton 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Newcastle: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–14; Everton: 2W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: Newcastle 10 wins, Everton 17 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 41–53.

What to expect

We make Newcastle the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 32; Newcastle 10 wins, 5 draws, Everton 17 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Newcastle 12–14, Everton 8–9.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
  5. Not available: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Not available for Everton: J. Grealish. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Newcastle vs Everton: the numbers side by side

NewcastleEverton
55%Form45%
67%Attack33%
38%Defence63%
20%Head to head80%
42%Goals58%
46.5%Overall53.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

NewcastleWLLWL
EvertonLLDWD

Newcastle vs Everton: head to head

All matches
10Newcastle
5Draws
17Everton
29/10/26 · Everton 3–1 Newcastle
12/8/26 · Newcastle 1–3 Everton
28/2/26 · Newcastle 2–3 Everton
29/11/25 · Everton 1–4 Newcastle
25/5/25 · Newcastle 0–1 Everton
5/10/24 · Everton 0–0 Newcastle

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Newcastle vs Everton: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Newcastle vs Everton?

On the result, our pick is Newcastle or draw (1X) (1.39); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Newcastle or draw (1X).

Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?

As we see it: Newcastle to win 43%, the draw 27%, Everton to win 30%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

2 November 2026, 20:00, at St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne. Referee: John Brooks.

Who will be missing?

Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Everton: J. Grealish. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.77), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.22).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 2–1 (9.2%), 1–0 (8.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Everton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.