Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Leeds entertain Manchester United on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Elland Road (Leeds), with Darren England the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Leeds vs Manchester United: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.62 | 3.52 | 2.92 |
| Market average | 2.55 | 3.42 | 2.78 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.95 | 49.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.15 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.65 | 56.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Leeds 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Leeds 11th (11 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
- Absences: Leeds 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Leeds vs Manchester United?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Leeds vs Manchester United: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Leeds vs Manchester United: injuries, suspensions, absences
Leeds
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Leeds vs Manchester United: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Leeds
Home and away
Leeds vs Manchester United: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Leeds: 11th, 11 points from 9 matches (2W 5D 2L). Manchester United: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Not available: Leeds 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Leeds: no absences. Not available for Manchester United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Leeds vs Manchester United: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Leeds vs Manchester United?
On the result, our pick is Leeds or draw (1X) (1.46); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Leeds or draw (1X).
Who will win Leeds vs Manchester United?
As we see it: Leeds to win 37%, the draw 28%, Manchester United to win 34%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 14:00, at Elland Road, Leeds. Referee: Darren England.
Who will be missing?
Leeds: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.93), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (9.5%), 0–1 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.