Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chelsea and Manchester United meet on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Stamford Bridge (London), under referee Peter Bankes. Chelsea (48%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Chelsea vs Manchester United: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.05 | 3.95 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.75 | 3.63 |
| Lowest odds | 1.82 | 3.46 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.16 | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.60 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.35 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.44 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 09:22. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chelsea 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chelsea 4th (16 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Chelsea 4W 1D 3L (17:15), Manchester United 1W 4D 3L (10:13).
- H2H: 41 matches: Chelsea 14W 14D 13L, goals 53–55.
- Absences: Chelsea 7, Manchester United 6.
Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester United?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Chelsea vs Manchester United: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Chelsea vs Manchester United: injuries, suspensions, absences
Chelsea
- A. Anselminoinjury · will miss the match
- J. Gittensankle injury · will miss the match
- J. Hatoinjury · will miss the match
- R. Jamesknee injury · will miss the match
- Joao Pedrothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Lacroixmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. Martinezabsence · will miss the match
Manchester United
- P. Dorguhamstring injury · will miss the match
- B. Seskoabsence · will miss the match
- L. Shawinjury · will miss the match
- M. Ugarteknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Mainooinjury · doubtful
- M. Rashfordhip injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Chelsea vs Manchester United: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Chelsea
Home and away
Chelsea vs Manchester United: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Chelsea: 4th, 16 points from 9 matches (5W 1D 3L). Manchester United: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Chelsea 2.1 scored and 1.9 conceded, Manchester United 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Chelsea: 4W 1D 3L, goals 17–15; Manchester United: 1W 4D 3L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 41 meetings: Chelsea 14 wins, Manchester United 13 wins, plus 14 draws; goals 53–55.
What to expect
We make Chelsea the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 41; Chelsea 14 wins, 14 draws, Manchester United 13 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Chelsea 17–15, Manchester United 10–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Chelsea 7, Manchester United 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Chelsea: A. Anselmino, J. Gittens, J. Hato, R. James, Joao Pedro, M. Lacroix, E. Martinez. Not available for Manchester United: P. Dorgu, B. Sesko, L. Shaw, M. Ugarte, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Chelsea vs Manchester United: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ChelseaWLWWLManchester UnitedLLDDDChelsea vs Manchester United: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Chelsea vs Manchester United: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Chelsea vs Manchester United?
On the result, our pick is Chelsea to win (2.05); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Chelsea or draw (1X).
Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester United?
As we see it: Chelsea to win 48%, the draw 25%, Manchester United to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 12:30, at Stamford Bridge, London. Referee: Peter Bankes.
Who will be missing?
Chelsea: A. Anselmino, J. Gittens, J. Hato, R. James, Joao Pedro, M. Lacroix, E. Martinez. Manchester United: P. Dorgu, B. Sesko, L. Shaw, M. Ugarte, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.64), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.