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Premier League · Matchweek 11 · 22 November 2026 · 16:30

Liverpool vs Manchester United tip, odds and prediction, 22 November 2026, Premier League

1Liverpool1.85
XDraw4.11
2Manchester United4.33

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:38

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Liverpool v Manchester United takes place on 22 November 2026 · 16:30 at Anfield (Liverpool). We back Liverpool (53%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Liverpool vs Manchester United: tip and prediction
Result
Liverpool to win
1.85
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Liverpool & over 2.5 goals
2.86
35% · fair combo odds
53%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Liverpool or draw (1X) – probability 78%, odds up to 1.26.

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Liverpool vs Manchester United: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.854.114.33
Market average1.793.944.28
Lowest odds1.733.804.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1978.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.751.6855.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.262.1344.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6835.2%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.0%
BTTS – no2.202.1643.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Liverpool 5th (15 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
  • Absences: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.

Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?

Liverpool53%
Draw24%
Manchester United22%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Liverpool vs Manchester United: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.4% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
Likely
Liverpool or draw (1X)77.7% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.8% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.0% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.75
Possible
Liverpool to win53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.85
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.26
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.0% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.2% · fair odds 2.84 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.11
Outsider
Manchester United to win22.3% · fair odds 4.48 · best 4.33
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.9%
1 : 09.9%
2 : 19.8%
2 : 08.9%
0 : 16.1%
1 : 26.0%

Liverpool vs Manchester United: injuries, suspensions, absences

Liverpool

  • No reported absences

Manchester United

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Liverpool vs Manchester United: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
8Tottenham93-3-310:1012
9Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
10Hull City92-5-211:1011
11Leeds92-5-29:811
12Newcastle83-2-312:1411
13Ipswich93-2-414:1811
14Everton82-4-28:910
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Liverpool

1 NovLLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
25 OctWLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
20 OctWLiverpool 4–3 Villarreal
17 OctWBrentford 1–2 Liverpool
14 OctWLask Linz 3–6 Liverpool

Manchester United

31 OctLChelsea 2–0 Manchester United
25 OctLManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
21 OctLComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctDLeeds 1–1 Manchester United
13 OctLAtlético Madrid 2–0 Manchester United

Home and away

Liverpool at home5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 4–6
Manchester United away5 matches: 0W 3D 2L, goals 4–8

Liverpool vs Manchester United: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Liverpool: 5th, 15 points from 9 matches (4W 3D 2L). Manchester United: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).

What to expect

We make Liverpool the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
  2. Not available: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Liverpool: no absences. Not available for Manchester United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Liverpool vs Manchester United: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Liverpool vs Manchester United?

On the result, our pick is Liverpool to win (1.85); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Liverpool or draw (1X).

Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?

As we see it: Liverpool to win 53%, the draw 24%, Manchester United to win 22%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 November 2026, 16:30, at Anfield, Liverpool.

Who will be missing?

Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.75), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.26).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 1–0 (9.9%), 2–1 (9.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Newcastle vs Everton 2 NovEverton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.