Liverpool v Manchester United takes place on 22 November 2026 · 16:30 at Anfield (Liverpool). We back Liverpool (53%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.85 | 4.11 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.79 | 3.94 | 4.28 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.19 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.68 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.13 | 44.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.68 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.16 | 43.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 5th (15 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
- Absences: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Liverpool vs Manchester United: injuries, suspensions, absences
Liverpool
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Manchester United: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Liverpool: 5th, 15 points from 9 matches (4W 3D 2L). Manchester United: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
What to expect
We make Liverpool the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Liverpool: no absences. Not available for Manchester United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Liverpool vs Manchester United: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Liverpool vs Manchester United?
On the result, our pick is Liverpool to win (1.85); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Liverpool or draw (1X).
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
As we see it: Liverpool to win 53%, the draw 24%, Manchester United to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 November 2026, 16:30, at Anfield, Liverpool.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.75), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 1–0 (9.9%), 2–1 (9.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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