Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Liverpool entertain Villarreal on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Anfield (Liverpool), with Szymon Marciniak the man in the middle. Liverpool (62%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Liverpool vs Villarreal: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.62 | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| Market average | 1.54 | 4.54 | 5.75 |
| Lowest odds | 1.46 | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.51 | 1.47 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.62 | 36.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.20 | 43.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.36 | 39.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 2–1 Villarreal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 3rd (9 points), Villarreal 19th (3 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Liverpool 4W 0D 1L, goals 12–6.
- Absences: Liverpool 0, Villarreal 0.
Who will win Liverpool vs Villarreal?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Liverpool vs Villarreal: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Liverpool vs Villarreal: injuries, suspensions, absences
Liverpool
- No reported absences
Villarreal
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Villarreal: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Villarreal: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Liverpool: 3rd, 9 points from 3 matches (3W 0D 0L). Villarreal: 19th, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Liverpool 4 wins, Villarreal 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 12–6.
What to expect
We make Liverpool the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Liverpool 4 wins, 0 draws, Villarreal 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.6 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Not available: Liverpool 0, Villarreal 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Liverpool: no absences. Not available for Villarreal: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Villarreal: head to head
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Liverpool vs Villarreal: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Liverpool vs Villarreal?
On the result, our pick is Liverpool to win (1.62); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.51). Prefer less risk? Go for Liverpool or draw (1X).
Who will win Liverpool vs Villarreal?
As we see it: Liverpool to win 62%, the draw 21%, Villarreal to win 17%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 20:00, at Anfield, Liverpool. Referee: Szymon Marciniak.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: no absences. Villarreal: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.51), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.8%), 1–1 (8.9%), 2–0 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.