Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Liverpool and Brighton meet on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Anfield (Liverpool), under referee Samuel Barrott. Liverpool (46%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Liverpool vs Brighton: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.15 | 4.04 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.09 | 3.86 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 5th (15 points), Brighton 3rd (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Liverpool 3W 3D 1L (9:8), Brighton 5W 1D 1L (23:5).
- H2H: 24 matches: Liverpool 15W 4D 5L, goals 52–28.
- Absences: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Liverpool vs Brighton: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Liverpool vs Brighton: injuries, suspensions, absences
Liverpool
- C. Bradleyknee injury · will miss the match
- H. EkitikeAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Frimpongmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Leoniknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Nalloabsence · will miss the match
- D. Szoboszlaimuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Munozknee injury · doubtful
Brighton
- F. Azeezabsence · will miss the match
- E. Fergusonankle injury · will miss the match
- Y. Mintehinjury · will miss the match
- K. Mitomahamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Tzimasknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Wiefferknee injury · will miss the match
- Z. Yohannainjury · will miss the match
- P. Struijkabsence · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Brighton: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Brighton: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Liverpool: 5th, 15 points from 9 matches (4W 3D 2L). Brighton: 3rd, 19 points (6W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Liverpool 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded, Brighton 3.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Liverpool: 3W 3D 1L, goals 9–8; Brighton: 5W 1D 1L, goals 23–5.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: Liverpool 15 wins, Brighton 5 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 52–28.
What to expect
We make Liverpool the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Brighton look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; Liverpool 15 wins, 4 draws, Brighton 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Liverpool 9–8, Brighton 23–5.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Not available for Brighton: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Brighton: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LiverpoolLWWLWBrightonWLWWWLiverpool vs Brighton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Liverpool vs Brighton: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Liverpool vs Brighton?
On the result, our pick is Liverpool to win (2.15); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Liverpool or draw (1X).
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
As we see it: Liverpool to win 46%, the draw 25%, Brighton to win 29%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:00, at Anfield, Liverpool. Referee: Samuel Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.2%), 1–0 (7.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.