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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10 · 8 November 2026 · 16:15

Le Havre vs Lorient tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Ligue 1

VS
DWWLD
1Le Havre2.83
XDraw3.52
2Lorient2.65

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Le Havre entertain Lorient on 8 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Océane (Le Havre). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Le Havre vs Lorient: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Lorient (X2)
1.50
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
65%chance of the result
53%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Le Havre vs Lorient: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.833.522.65
Market average2.713.342.57
Lowest odds2.623.252.50
Megapari2.833.522.65
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3271.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.072.0047.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.881.8152.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.523.4127.5%
BTTS – yes1.751.7453.4%
BTTS – no2.001.9946.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Le Havre 1–1 Lorient, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Lorient 10th (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: Le Havre 0W 2D 7L (9:20), Lorient 3W 3D 2L (7:6).
  • H2H: 12 matches: Le Havre 4W 4D 4L, goals 20–19.
  • Absences: Le Havre 0, Lorient 0.

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

Le Havre35%
Draw28%
Lorient37%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Le Havre vs Lorient: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.31
Likely
Over 1.5 goals71.3% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.34
Likely
Draw or Lorient (X2)65.1% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.50
Likely
Both teams score: yes53.4% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.5% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.88
Possible
Over 2.5 goals47.5% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.07
Outsider
Both teams score: no46.6% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.00
Outsider
Lorient to win36.8% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.65
Outsider
Le Havre to win34.9% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.83
Outsider
Draw28.3% · fair odds 3.53 · best 3.52
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.52
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.7%
0 : 110.2%
1 : 09.8%
1 : 28.2%
2 : 17.9%
0 : 07.8%

Le Havre vs Lorient: injuries, suspensions, absences

Le Havre

  • No reported absences

Lorient

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Le Havre vs Lorient: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Le Havre

30 OctLLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
25 OctLMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
18 OctLLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
10 OctLLille 1–0 Le Havre
19 SeptLToulouse 3–2 Le Havre

Lorient

25 OctDAngers 0–0 Lorient
18 OctWLorient 1–0 Monaco
10 OctWLorient 1–0 Paris FC
19 SeptLLe Mans 2–1 Lorient
12 SeptDLorient 2–2 Toulouse

Home and away

Le Havre at home5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 3–11
Lorient away4 matches: 1W 2D 1L, goals 2–2

Le Havre vs Lorient: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Le Havre: 18th, 2 points from 9 matches (0W 2D 7L). Lorient: 10th, 12 points (3W 3D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Le Havre 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded, Lorient 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Le Havre: 0W 2D 7L, goals 9–20; Lorient: 3W 3D 2L, goals 7–6.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 12 meetings: Le Havre 4 wins, Lorient 4 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 20–19.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 12; Le Havre 4 wins, 4 draws, Lorient 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Le Havre 9–20, Lorient 7–6.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
  5. Not available: Le Havre 0, Lorient 0.

Alternative tip: Draw or Lorient (X2)

Other option: Draw or Lorient (X2) (probability 65%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Le Havre: no absences. Not available for Lorient: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Le Havre vs Lorient: the numbers side by side

Le HavreLorient
0%Form100%
58%Attack42%
20%Defence80%
62%Head to head38%
60%Goals40%
43.6%Overall56.4%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Le HavreLLLLL
LorientDWWLD

Le Havre vs Lorient: head to head

All matches
4Le Havre
4Draws
4Lorient
17/5/26 · Lorient 0–2 Le Havre
21/9/25 · Le Havre 1–1 Lorient
28/1/24 · Lorient 3–3 Le Havre
3/9/23 · Le Havre 3–0 Lorient
29/7/23 · Le Havre 0–2 Lorient
29/7/23 · Lorient 2–0 Le Havre

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Le Havre vs Lorient: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Le Havre vs Lorient?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Lorient (X2) (1.50); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Lorient (X2).

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

As we see it: Le Havre to win 35%, the draw 28%, Lorient to win 37%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 16:15, at Stade Océane, Le Havre.

Who will be missing?

Le Havre: no absences. Lorient: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.07), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.88).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.75).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 0–1 (10.2%), 1–0 (9.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.