Bet with MINO CASINO →Girona and Almería meet on 8 November 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona). Girona (46%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Girona vs Almería: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.07 | 3.78 | 3.53 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.38 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Megapari | 2.03 | 3.72 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.72 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.14 | 44.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.71 | 34.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.22 | 41.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Girona 1–1 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Girona 6th (21 points), Almería 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Girona 6W 3D 3L (22:11), Almería 8W 2D 2L (23:10).
- H2H: 16 matches: Girona 7W 5D 4L, goals 26–17.
- Absences: Girona 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Girona vs Almería?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Girona vs Almería: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Girona vs Almería: injuries, suspensions, absences
Girona
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Girona vs Almería: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Girona
Home and away
Girona vs Almería: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Girona: 6th, 21 points from 12 matches (6W 3D 3L). Almería: 2nd, 26 points (8W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Girona 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded, Almería 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Girona: 6W 3D 3L, goals 22–11; Almería: 8W 2D 2L, goals 23–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 16 meetings: Girona 7 wins, Almería 4 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 26–17.
What to expect
We make Girona the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Almería look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 16; Girona 7 wins, 5 draws, Almería 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Girona 22–11, Almería 23–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: Girona 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Girona: no absences. Not available for Almería: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Girona vs Almería: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
GironaLWWDDAlmeríaDDWWWGirona vs Almería: head to head
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Girona vs Almería: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Girona vs Almería?
On the result, our pick is Girona to win (2.07); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Girona or draw (1X).
Who will win Girona vs Almería?
As we see it: Girona to win 46%, the draw 26%, Almería to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 15:15, at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona.
Who will be missing?
Girona: no absences. Almería: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.75), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.19).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.3%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.