Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Eibar v Almería takes place on 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar); D. Miranda will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Eibar vs Almería: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.54 | 3.65 | 2.88 |
| Market average | 2.43 | 3.48 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.65 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.52 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:56. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Eibar 1–1 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Eibar 3rd (23 points), Almería 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Eibar 7W 1D 3L (20:13), Almería 8W 1D 2L (22:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Eibar 5W 2D 2L, goals 14–10.
- Absences: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Eibar vs Almería: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Eibar vs Almería: injuries, suspensions, absences
Eibar
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Eibar vs Almería: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Eibar
Home and away
Eibar vs Almería: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Eibar: 3rd, 23 points from 12 matches (7W 2D 3L). Almería: 2nd, 26 points (8W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Eibar 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Almería 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Eibar: 7W 1D 3L, goals 20–13; Almería: 8W 1D 2L, goals 22–9.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Eibar 5 wins, Almería 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 14–10.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Eibar 5 wins, 2 draws, Almería 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Eibar 20–13, Almería 22–9.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Eibar: no absences. Not available for Almería: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Eibar vs Almería: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
EibarDLDLWAlmeríaDDWWWEibar vs Almería: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Eibar vs Almería: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Eibar vs Almería?
On the result, our pick is Eibar or draw (1X) (1.48); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Eibar or draw (1X).
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
As we see it: Eibar to win 38%, the draw 27%, Almería to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:15, at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar. Referee: D. Miranda.
Who will be missing?
Eibar: no absences. Almería: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.80), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.