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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 24 October 2026 · 17:30

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, Segunda División

LWWDD
5–1
1Girona1.35
XDraw5.40
2Celta de Vigo II9.48

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 14:13

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Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Girona entertain Celta de Vigo II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona), with J. Guzmán the man in the middle. Girona (71%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: tip and prediction
Result
Girona to win
1.35
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Girona & over 2.5 goals
2.00
50% · fair combo odds
71%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Girona or draw (1X) – probability 89%, odds up to 1.09.

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Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.355.409.48
Market average1.325.138.58
Lowest odds1.294.808.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1482.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5062.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4837.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.392.2741.7%
BTTS – yes1.831.7852.1%
BTTS – no2.001.9447.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 14:13. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Girona 2–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Girona 6th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 15th (13 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Girona 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
  • Absences: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.

Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?

Girona71%
Draw18%
Celta de Vigo II11%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: more betting markets

Girona or draw (1X)89.1% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.2% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Girona to win70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.35
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.3% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: yes52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: no47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.39
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.7% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw18.2% · fair odds 5.48 · best 5.40
Outsider
Celta de Vigo II to win10.9% · fair odds 9.15 · best 9.48
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.0%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.81 · Under 1.95
probability of over 51.8%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.3%
1 : 09.6%
2 : 19.6%
3 : 08.8%
1 : 18.1%
3 : 17.5%

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: injuries, suspensions, absences

Girona

  • No reported absences

Celta de Vigo II

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
6Girona126-3-322:1121
7Burgos126-3-317:1321
8Mallorca115-4-213:619
9Oviedo115-3-315:1218
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Córdoba125-1-619:2216
12Tenerife113-5-313:1514
13Eldense124-2-613:1714
14Las Palmas114-2-514:1914
15Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
16Valladolid113-3-516:1612
17Leganés113-3-57:1612
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz112-4-514:1410
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Girona

31 OctLReal Sociedad II 1–0 Girona
24 OctWGirona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II
18 OctWGirona 2–0 FC Andorra
12 OctDTenerife 1–1 Girona
4 OctDGirona 0–0 Mallorca

Celta de Vigo II

31 OctDCelta de Vigo II 2–2 Córdoba
24 OctLGirona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II
19 OctDCelta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
10 OctWCelta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II
4 OctLSporting Gijón 3–2 Celta de Vigo II

Home and away

Girona at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 16–6
Celta de Vigo II away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–10

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Girona: 6th, 21 points from 12 matches (6W 3D 3L). Celta de Vigo II: 15th, 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Girona 1 win, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–1.

What to expect

We make Girona the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Girona 1 win, 0 draws, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 6.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  4. Not available: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Girona: no absences. Not available for Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: head to head

All matches
1Girona
0Draws
0Celta de Vigo II
24/10/26 · Girona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?

On the result, our pick is Girona to win (1.35); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Girona or draw (1X).

Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?

As we see it: Girona to win 71%, the draw 18%, Celta de Vigo II to win 11%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 17:30, at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona. Referee: J. Guzmán.

Who will be missing?

Girona: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.57), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (11.3%), 1–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (9.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Valladolid vs Leganés 2 NovMallorca vs Cádiz 2 NovCastellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.