Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Girona entertain Celta de Vigo II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona), with J. Guzmán the man in the middle. Girona (71%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.35 | 5.40 | 9.48 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.13 | 8.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.50 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 52.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 14:13. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Girona 2–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Girona 6th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 15th (13 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Girona 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: injuries, suspensions, absences
Girona
- No reported absences
Celta de Vigo II
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Girona
Home and away
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Girona: 6th, 21 points from 12 matches (6W 3D 3L). Celta de Vigo II: 15th, 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Girona 1 win, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–1.
What to expect
We make Girona the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Girona 1 win, 0 draws, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 6.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Girona: no absences. Not available for Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: head to head
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Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
On the result, our pick is Girona to win (1.35); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Girona or draw (1X).
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
As we see it: Girona to win 71%, the draw 18%, Celta de Vigo II to win 11%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 17:30, at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona. Referee: J. Guzmán.
Who will be missing?
Girona: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.57), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (11.3%), 1–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (9.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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