Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Almería and Oviedo meet on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at UD Almería Stadium (Almería), under referee G. Cid. Almería (56%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Almería vs Oviedo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.72 | 3.98 | 5.34 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 3.78 | 4.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.98 | 47.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.99 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Almería 1–0 Oviedo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Almería 2nd (26 points), Oviedo 9th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Almería 5W 6D 6L, goals 22–22.
- Absences: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Almería vs Oviedo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Almería vs Oviedo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Almería vs Oviedo: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Almería
Home and away
Almería vs Oviedo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Almería: 2nd, 26 points from 12 matches (8W 2D 2L). Oviedo: 9th, 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Almería 5 wins, Oviedo 6 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 22–22.
What to expect
We make Almería the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Almería 5 wins, 6 draws, Oviedo 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Almería: no absences. Not available for Oviedo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Almería vs Oviedo: head to head
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Almería vs Oviedo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Almería vs Oviedo?
On the result, our pick is Almería to win (1.72); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Almería or draw (1X).
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
As we see it: Almería to win 56%, the draw 25%, Oviedo to win 19%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 20:00, at UD Almería Stadium, Almería. Referee: G. Cid.
Who will be missing?
Almería: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.85), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (11.5%), 1–1 (10.9%), 2–0 (10.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.