Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Frosinone and Sassuolo meet on 16 October 2026 · 19:45 at PSC Arena (Frosinone), under referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.55 | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.99 | 2.83 | 33.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.00 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.1% |
| BTTS – no | 3.20 | 3.01 | 30.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 16/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Frosinone 1–1 Sassuolo, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Sassuolo 15th (8 points).
- H2H: 10 matches: Frosinone 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–15.
- Absences: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Frosinone
- No reported absences
Sassuolo
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Frosinone
Home and away
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Frosinone: 6th, 20 points from 10 matches (6W 2D 2L). Sassuolo: 15th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Frosinone 3 wins, Sassuolo 4 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 15–15.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 69% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 10; Frosinone 3 wins, 3 draws, Sassuolo 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Not available: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Alternative tip: Frosinone or draw (1X)
Other option: Frosinone or draw (1X) (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Frosinone: no absences. Not available for Sassuolo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: head to head
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Frosinone vs Sassuolo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
On the result, our pick is Frosinone or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.92). Prefer less risk? Go for Frosinone or draw (1X).
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
As we see it: Frosinone to win 39%, the draw 25%, Sassuolo to win 36%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
16 October 2026, 19:45, at PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: no absences. Sassuolo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.44), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 2.99).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 69% (odds 1.40).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.6%), 2–1 (8.4%), 1–2 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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