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Serie A · Matchweek 7 · 16 October 2026 · 19:45

Frosinone vs Sassuolo tip, odds and prediction, 16 October 2026, Serie A

4–2
1Frosinone2.55
XDraw3.90
2Sassuolo2.80

Top odds available · Updated 16/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Frosinone and Sassuolo meet on 16 October 2026 · 19:45 at PSC Arena (Frosinone), under referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Frosinone or draw (1X)
1.50
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.92
64%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Frosinone vs Sassuolo: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.553.902.80
Market average2.453.752.69
Lowest odds2.303.502.55
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.1084.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4066.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.992.8333.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.102.0047.7%
BTTS – yes1.401.3469.1%
BTTS – no3.203.0130.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 16/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Frosinone 1–1 Sassuolo, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Sassuolo 15th (8 points).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Frosinone 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–15.
  • Absences: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.

Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

Frosinone39%
Draw25%
Sassuolo36%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals84.5% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.12
Likely
Both teams score: yes69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Frosinone or draw (1X)64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.92
Possible
Over 3.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.10
Outsider
Frosinone to win39.0% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.55
Outsider
Sassuolo to win35.5% · fair odds 2.81 · best 2.80
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals33.2% · fair odds 3.01 · best 2.99
Outsider
Both teams score: no30.9% · fair odds 3.24 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw25.5% · fair odds 3.92 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.76
probability of over 47.0%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.08 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.6%
2 : 18.4%
1 : 28.0%
2 : 27.0%
1 : 05.8%
0 : 15.5%

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: injuries, suspensions, absences

Frosinone

  • No reported absences

Sassuolo

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Frosinone

1 NovWFrosinone 2–0 Torino
29 OctWFrosinone 5–1 Lecce
25 OctDAtalanta 4–4 Frosinone
16 OctWFrosinone 4–2 Sassuolo
10 OctLNapoli 3–0 Frosinone

Sassuolo

27 OctLSassuolo 2–6 Lazio
24 OctLComo 2–0 Sassuolo
16 OctLFrosinone 4–2 Sassuolo
11 OctDSassuolo 1–1 AC Milan
18 SeptLMonza 2–1 Sassuolo

Home and away

Frosinone at home6 matches: 5W 0D 1L, goals 16–6
Sassuolo away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 6–12

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Frosinone: 6th, 20 points from 10 matches (6W 2D 2L). Sassuolo: 15th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Frosinone 3 wins, Sassuolo 4 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 15–15.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 69% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 10; Frosinone 3 wins, 3 draws, Sassuolo 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
  4. Not available: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.

Alternative tip: Frosinone or draw (1X)

Other option: Frosinone or draw (1X) (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Frosinone: no absences. Not available for Sassuolo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: head to head

All matches
3Frosinone
3Draws
4Sassuolo
16/10/26 · Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo
2/9/26 · Sassuolo 1–1 Frosinone
13/5/25 · Sassuolo 0–1 Frosinone
14/12/24 · Frosinone 1–2 Sassuolo
9/3/24 · Sassuolo 1–0 Frosinone
17/9/23 · Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

On the result, our pick is Frosinone or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.92). Prefer less risk? Go for Frosinone or draw (1X).

Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?

As we see it: Frosinone to win 39%, the draw 25%, Sassuolo to win 36%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

16 October 2026, 19:45, at PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy.

Who will be missing?

Frosinone: no absences. Sassuolo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.44), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 2.99).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 69% (odds 1.40).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (9.6%), 2–1 (8.4%), 1–2 (8.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.