Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rio Ave entertain Famalicão on 25 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio dos Arcos (Vila do Conde), with H. Carvalho the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.66 | 3.46 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.48 | 3.30 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.11 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.83 | 51.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicão, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rio Ave 16th (7 points), Famalicão 11th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Rio Ave 2W 1D 5L (8:17), Famalicão 1W 4D 3L (10:11).
- H2H: 14 matches: Rio Ave 1W 8D 5L, goals 10–17.
- Absences: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: injuries, suspensions, absences
Rio Ave
- No reported absences
Famalicão
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rio Ave
Home and away
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Rio Ave: 16th, 7 points from 10 matches (2W 1D 7L). Famalicão: 11th, 10 points (2W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Rio Ave 1.0 scored and 2.1 conceded, Famalicão 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rio Ave: 2W 1D 5L, goals 8–17; Famalicão: 1W 4D 3L, goals 10–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Rio Ave 1 win, Famalicão 5 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 10–17.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 14; Rio Ave 1 win, 8 draws, Famalicão 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Rio Ave 8–17, Famalicão 10–11.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Not available: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Rio Ave: no absences. Not available for Famalicão: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Rio AveLLWLDFamalicãoLWLWDRio Ave vs Famalicão: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Famalicão (X2) (1.32); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Famalicão (X2).
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
As we see it: Rio Ave to win 27%, the draw 28%, Famalicão to win 45%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 18:00, at Estádio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde. Referee: H. Carvalho.
Who will be missing?
Rio Ave: no absences. Famalicão: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.05), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 0–1 (11.3%), 1–2 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.